Kris Bryant Worth A Hefty Price
The New York Mets were able to absolutely steal Francisco Lindor and Carlos Carrasco from the Cleveland Indians. Yes, the Mets gave up real value, but by no means was it commensurate with the return.
There are factors for that including Lindor’s expiring deal and the Mets taking on $34.3 million in salary for 2021 alone. Seeing that could make you believe the Mets could obtain Kris Bryant and his $19.5 million in Bryant’s last year before free agency.
Such optimism is misplaced for a number of reasons. First, the Chicago Cubs are somewhat vacillating between tearing it down and competing in a dreadful NL Central. Mostly, the Cubs aren’t going to let their homegrown superstar, the man who fielded what was the final out of their first World Series in 108 years go at a discount.
If you’re a team like the Mets, the question is how far do you go to get Bryant. The answer should be very far.
Yes, Bryant struggled in 2020. His career low 77 wRC+ was largely due to a mixture of his shoulder and oblique issues and just the truly bizarre nature of the 2020 season.
Keep in mind, there should be some positive course correction with Bryant having a .264 BABIP which is well off his career mark of .339. Of course, part of that was his poor contract numbers. He wasn’t squaring balls up or hitting balls hard.
Again, Bryant dealt with an oblique injury. Presumably, that should not be an issue in 2021. If that is the case, Bryant could return to the player who had a 139 wRC+ over the first five seasons of his career.
That 139 mark bests all Mets hitters over that time frame. In fact, it’s the 17th best in all of baseball and third best at his position. His fWAR over that stretch has him as the best third baseman in the game. Notably, his bWAR has him lower down the list, but that said, he’s still among the best in the game.
Keep in mind, he’s not just a third baseman. He’s also spent time at first and all three outfield positions. This would give Luis Rojas some flexibility both in setting the lineup and late in games.
All told, Bryant would fill a huge hole on the roster, and he arguably becomes the second best player on the roster. Put another way, he makes the Mets a SIGNIFICANTLY better team. He may even make them the World Series favorites.
What do you give up for this? A lot!
Rumors are the Cubs have interest in David Peterson. Honestly, he shouldn’t be the hold-up. Peterson shouldn’t be getting in the way of the Mets and the World Series. That goes double when the Mets can possibly obtain another piece from the Cubs.
Sure, there is a line. There always should be one. That’s likely in the vicinity of Francisco Alvarez and Matthew Allan. Keep in mind as the Mets draw this line, they will receive a compensatory second round pick should Bryant not re-sign (presuming he’s extended a qualifying offer).
At the end of the day, the Mets have to ask who exactly in their system is worth not adding the missing piece to this roster. Which prospect or player should stand in the way of the best infield in all of baseball and quite possibly a World Series.
And that right there is why the Mets should be willing to pay a hefty price for Bryant.
It is deal could be done with say JD Davies & David Peterson yes we would love to keep him but will be as good as last year? By both these included we add prospect maybe below 10 plus either of the two pitcher Familia and or Dellin Betances? Maybe we can also get some else includes if they have a salary dump also.
Matthew Allen, Alvarez, Beaty and Pete the Crow should all be off limits in a Bryant trade. The Cubs are trying to dump him, you don’t get elite level prospects in a dump. Also, someone dumb is going to give Bryant a long and expensive contract next year. I am hoping it’s not the Mets. You make good points on why he is good, but here are some on why he is not…
His strikeouts are out of control and should only increase as he ages
Only 1 year of 100 rbi despite being credited as a star player
2 out of 6 years he’s missed significant time via injury
Is coming off a truly horrendous season (I get it was a small sample)
Will be far too expensive after this year for the Mets too keep
For some reason he gets undue hype in my opinion. Probably because he won a World Series on the Cubs. Bryce Harper is basically Michael Conforto at this point in his career, but the idiots in Philly gave him 13 years. The same will happen for Bryant because he is equally over-hyped. For the right price they should jump for him, but he’s not worth having for more than this year.
Kris Bryant is not worth any prospect at this time. I’d rather the Mets relive this deal at the deadline when it’s clear that Bryant can actually make the Mets World Series contenders. Pitchers have him figured out, buyer beware.
That’s all well and good except the Mets playing Davis at third will cost them games and may thereby stop them from being able to be in a position to make such a deal
Well we have to also look at next year. Would we be resigning Bryant ? We have a number of key player were talking about extension Francisco Lindor & Michael Conforto this year also a few Pitchers up for Free Agents Noal , Stroman. Because Bryant is going to be asking $150 million of 5 year if not more.
It’s difficult to know what Bryant would command