Mets Final Season Grades – Opening Day Rotation
Throughout the season, I attempted to grade the different Mets players performances for each month of the season. In determining the year end grades, the aggregate of the monthly grades given was considered, but it wasn’t conclusive. For example, one player’s awful month could be more than offset by having an incredible month. Also, those decisions were made in the heat of the moment. There has been a cooling off period in giving these finals grades, and with that, there is time for reflection. It should also be noted the Wild Card Game did have some impact on these grades as that game was part of the story of the 2016 Mets. Overall, the final grades assessed considered the monthly grades, but also took into account that player(s) overall impact on the Mets season (good or bad). For the sixth set of grades, here are the Mets Opening Day Rotation:
By now, it is readily apparent Harvey never should have pitched in 2016. First, there was the blood clots in his bladder that led to him having an abbreviated Spring Training. Then, it was his complaining about his mechanics. He just wasn’t himself on the mound, and the Mets began to have discussions about sending him down. Harvey calmed those concerns a bit by carrying a no-hitter into the fifth against the White Sox.
Even with that start, there was something not quite right with Harvey. As it turns out, he needed season ending surgery to remove a rib to address his thoracic outlet syndrome (TOS). The TOS was the main culprit for Harvey going 4-10 with a 4.86 ERA and a 1.468 WHIP. With Harvey having the surgery, we can expect hi to get back to his dominant form instead of the struggling pitcher we saw in 2016.
Like Harvey, deGrom had some issues of his own. He had an abbreviate Spring Training due to his newborn son’s health issues. He had an oblique injury that robbed him of some velocity and movement. Finally, he had to have season ending surgery himself to address a nerve irritation that was preventing him from pitching.
Ultimately, deGrom adapted to the reduced velocity and movement by locating, and he dominated in day games like he always has. However, deGrom was not up for the big game like we saw from him. That was prevalent in an August match-up against Madison Bumgarner that saw both pitchers fail to live up to the pitcher’s duel billing. In reality, the nerve issue was too much for him towards the end of the season.
Still, it was a good season for deGrom. It just wasn’t the one we expected from him after he emerged as the Mets ace in 2015. Overall, deGrom made 24 starts going 7-8 with a 3.04 ERA and a 1.203 WHIP. He should be much better next season.
During the second game of the season, Syndergaard showed off a 95 MPH slider. With that he announced to the world, he was taking the next step forward in a season where he would emerge as the Mets ace. He would also emerge as a Cy Young candidate. Syndergaard might have won the Cy Young award too had it not been for the bone spurs he had to learn to pitch with during the middle of the season.
Dealing with the bone spurs was not the only challenges Syndergaard overcame. He also had to address how he held runners on base. Gradually throughout the season, and with some help with Rene Rivera behind the plate, he addressed that issue to the point where teams were no longer running at will against him. He also had to adapt to being able to carry an injury plagued pitching staff. One of the main things lost in the season was at the end of the year, Syndergaard was really all the Mets had left in the rotation. He handled the pressure of not just being an ace, but also being the Mets best chance of winning games. That was most prevalent when he threw seven shutout innings in a winner-take-all Wild Card Game.
For the season, Syndergaard was 14-9 with a 2.60 ERA and a 1.149 WHIP. He was the league leader in FIP and home runs allowed per nine innings. Lost in those numbers was a two home run game in Los Angeles and his getting thrown out of a game for throwing at Chase Utley. It was an eventful year that saw Syndergaard take the next step. It will be fascinating to see him improve even more next year.
Matz’s season was reminiscent of a scene in the the movie Major League. Announcer Harry Doyle stated as Willie MaysBar Hayes stepped up to the plate that many say you can tell a lot about how a season is going to go based upon the team’s first at-bat of the season. Well, if you judged by Matz’s first start of the season, you knew it was going to be a rough year for him.
In his first start, Matz couldn’t get out of the second inning after allowing seven runs to the Marlins. To his credit, Matz would move past that start, and he would start putting together a season worthy of Rookie of the Year consideration. In fact, by the end of May, Matz would lower his ERA from the gaudy 37.80 it was during his first start all the way down to 2.28. It was around this time that Matz began dealing with bone spurs in his elbow that changed the way he pitched.
He couldn’t utilize his slider or breaking pitches as often as it caused him pain. Accordingly, he was less effective on the mound, and he would pitch to a 4.21 ERA until August. At that point, Matz just couldn’t do it physically anymore. He needed season ending surgery to remove what was described as a massive bone spur. The surgery put an end to what was an uneven season from him.
Overall, Matz made 22 starts going 9-8 with a 3.40 ERA and a 1.209 WHIP. During the season, he did much to confirm people’s preconceived notions about him. If you saw him as a possible future ace to join an elite rotation, you saw definitive glimpses of that. If you saw him as an injury prone pitcher that will never put it together, you saw that as well. Right now, it is difficult to glean exactly what Matz is and what he will be as a major leaguer. The 2017 should go a long way on that front.
Colon was supposed to be removed from the rotation by the All Star Break. Instead, he was the only pitcher who didn’t need to skip a start this season. With the Mets rotation getting decimated by injuries throughout the season, they needed a pitcher like Colon to go out there and not only eat innings, but also to be a reliable pitcher when he took the mound. Colon responded by having his best year as a Met.
The innings was only part of the Colon story. In April, he tied Pedro Martinez on the all-time wins list meaning he has won the second most games by a Dominican born pitcher. Colon would then pass Pedro in May. Also in May, Colon would actually hit a home run off of James Shields. These are but a few of the highlights that also included Colon being the best defensive pitcher this season. It was your typical Colon roller coaster ride that fans seemed to love with the exception being that he actually pitched well this season.
Overall, Colon made 33 starts and one relief appearance going 15-8 with a 3.43 ERA and a 1.210 WHIP. He led the majors with the fewest walks per nine innings. It was the type of season that will help fans remember him fondly when he is pitching for the Braves next season.
Zack Wheeler Incomplete
At the Carlos Gomez trade fell through, Wheeler famously called Sandy Alderson and asked him not to trade him. The rehabbing pitcher wanted to be a part of a Mets team that was poised to win again in 2016. It didn’t happen as he did not throw one pitch for the Mets in 2016.
Wheeler’s rehab was plagued with setbacks. First, he needed surgery to remove an undissolved stitch. He then experienced elbow discomfort which turned out to be an irritated nerve requiring a cortisone shot. In August, he was finally able to start facing batters again, and he again experienced elbow discomfort which turned out to be a strained flexor tendon. With that his season was over before it ever began.
At this point, no one quite knows what to make of Wheeler. He hasn’t pitched in two seasons, has had two surgeries, and has had a number of elbow issues. While all indications are that he will be ready to start the 2017, we are at the point that we will believe it when we see it.
Editor’s Note: the grades for April, May, June, July, August, and September/October can be found by clicking the links.