Back to the Future Predicted Nothing

I had Mike & Mike on briefly this morning, and I heard Mike Greenberg reiterate something I’ve heard a lot this season: Back to the Future Part II predicted the Cubs would win the World Series. Not to get my baseball and movie nerd on, but the movie made no such prediction. 

In Part II, Marty McFly, Doc, and Jennifer travel 30 years into the future to save their future children. Yes, we do see that the Cubs win the World Series. Here is what else we learn the Cubs won the World Series by beating Florida on October 21, 2015. 

Now, next to nothing from Back to the Future Part II has come true. I don’t have a hover car. I lace my sneakers everyday. My clothes don’t dry themselves. The American League team in Florida didn’t make the playoffs. The World Series doesn’t begin until October 27th. So other than that, yeah, let’s rely on the predictions made in a 1989 movie. 

Also, keep in mind that the Cubs winning the World Series was part of the second timeline. The first timeline was before Marty went to 1955. Everything after that was altered when George decked Biff. It was then that we found out that Marty McFly’s Johhny B. Goode was ripped off by Chuck Berry with the help of his cousin Marvin. 

Anyway, a new timeline is created when Biff steals the DeLorean with the Sports Almanac and goes back to 1955. For argument’s sake, let’s say the timeline reverted to the prior 2015 timeline when the Cubs first win the World Series. It doesn’t matter because this timeline was going to be erased anyway. 

The timeline was first erased when Marty goes back to 1885 to save Doc from being murdered by Biff’s ancestors (yet another timeline). In any event, Marty saves Doc (new timeline) and Doc saves Clara Clayton, who was supposed to die, marries her, and has children (new timeline). Also, important is that Marty’s ancestor, Seamus McFly, teaches Marty restraint. 

This creates our current timeline because back in 1985, Marty doesn’t have the drag race, which ruins his future.  Since the DeLorean was destroyed, we don’t know what the future holds anymore. We can’t predict anything with certainty. There’s no clear cut road to the World Series. I mean c’mon. “Roads?  Where we’re going, we don’t need roads.”

That means the 2015 World Series is not the Cubs “density.” What does this all mean?  Let’s let Doc sum it up:

It means your future hasn’t been written yet. No one’s has. Your future is whatever you make of it. So make it a good one, both of you. 

The Mets have the pieces to make this a World Series run. No one can tell me right now they know the Mets won’t win the World Series. So, let’s all jump on and enjoy the ride. The only thing I know for sure is “if my calculations are correct, once this [playoff run gets going], you’re going to see some serious shit!”

First Pitches of the NLDS

Typically, teams will trot out former players and stars to throw out the first pitch. Since it’s a series against the Mets, the Dodgers will look to bring out 1988 heroes Orel Hershiser and Kirk Gibson. That’s boring. We should find people Mets and Dodgers fans can bond over, and I don’t mean Paul Lo Duca

Before the Subway Series, a friend of mine, who is a Yankee fan, and I decided to look for the seven athletes most hated by New Yorkers. I don’t remember the full list, but I do know it included Reggie Miller. With that said, here’s my five choices:

Game 1: Cole Hamels (2008 NLCS MVP)

Game 2: Ryan Howard (2009 NLCS MVP)

Game 3: Mike D’Antoni

Game 4: Reggie Jackson

Game 5: Tim Duncan

If you have anyone better, I’ll be happy to update this and give you credit. 

Mets Pitchers Against Dodgers Hitters

Earlier posts addressed the Mets postseason pitching experience as well as the Dodgers postseason offense. While it is interesting to see how theses players fared in October’s past, I’m more interested in seeing how the Mets pitchers have performed against the Dodgers (* – not on team, ** – not on projected roster):

July 3, 2015 Dodger Stadium

Noah Syndergaard ND, 6.0 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 6 K

Hansel Robles W, 2.0 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 3 K

Jeurys Familia S, 1.0 IP, 0 H, 0 BB, 1 K

July 4, 2015 Dodger Stadium

Matt Harvey L, 5.0 IP, 7 H, 3 ER, 5 BB, 4

Alex Torres* 1.1 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 0 K

Carlos Torres** 0.2 IP, 0 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 1 K

Sean Gilmartin 1.0 IP, 0 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 1 K

June 5, 2015 Dodger Stadium
Steven Matz W, 6.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 8 K
Logan Verrett** S, 3.0 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 3 K
July 23, 2015 Citi Field
Bartolo Colon L, 8.0 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 4 K
Sean Gilmartin, 0 IP, 3 H, 2 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 0 K

Carlos Torres** 1.0 IP, 0 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 2 K

July 24, 2015 Citi Field
Jon Niese L, 3.0 IP, 8 H, 6 ER, 1 BB, 1 K
Carlos Torres** 3.0 IP, 0 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 2 K

Hansel Robles 2.0 IP, 1 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 2 K

Alex Torres* 1.0 IP, 0 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 1 K

July 25, 2015 Citi Field
Matt Harvey W, 7.0 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 4 K

Jenrry Mejia* 1.0 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 3 K
Jeurys Familia 1.0 IP, 0 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 1 K

July 26, 2015 Citi Field 
Jacob deGrom ND, 7.2 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 8 K
Jeurys Familia, BS, 1.1 IP, 3 H, 2 ER, 0 BB, 1 K

Jenrry Mejia, W, 1.0 IP, 0 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 1 K

Cumulative

Here are the cumulative stats for the pitchers who are projected to make the playoff roster:

Noah Syndergaard, 0-0, 6.0 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 6 K

Matt Harvey 1-1, 12.0 IP, 13 H, 5 ER, 6 BB, 8 K

Steven Matz 1-0, 6.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 8 K

Bartolo Colon 0-1, 8.0 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 4 K

Jon Niese 0-1, 3.0 IP, 8 H, 6 ER, 1 BB, 1 K

Jacob deGrom 0-0, 7.2 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 8 K

Hansel Robles 1-0, 4.0 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 5 K

Jeurys Familia S, BS, 3.1 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 0 BB, 3 K

Sean Gilmartin 1.0 IP, 3 H, 2 0 ER, 0 BB, 1 K

Overall, with the exception of Niese, who will not start in the NLDS, have pitched well against the Dodgers. The Mets pitchers faced most of the Dodgers batters they will face in the playoffs. These stats give me confidence the Mets can win this series. 

CC Sabathia

One of the first ever blog posts I wrote, not for this site, was about CC Sabathia. Honestly, I never thought I would write another post about him again until I read about him going into rehab: 

Whenever something like this happens it’s always hard to tell if it’s a good or bad day. Yes, it’s a good thing that he admits there is a problem. It’s a good thing he is getting the help he needs. It’s a good thing he’s not risking his health for a playoff run. However, it’s always sad when someone needs the help. 

You know Sabathia wants to go out there. You know he wants to be there for his teammates. However, he’s finally come to the point where he realizes he’s of no use to anyone right now; at least not until he’s sober. This is why I won’t question the timing. There’s always an excuse why it’s not a good time. The truth is the best time to start rehab is immediately. 

You’re not going to get better until you start. He’s started. He’s now facing the biggest opponent he’s ever faced. He’s not fighting for a Cy Young, to make the playoffs, or a World Series. He’s fighting for his career. He’s fighting for his team. He’s fighting for his life. He’s fighting for his family. 

I don’t make it a point to root for Yankees, but I’ll make an exception here. I’m rooting for him. If he comes back and bests the Mets next year, I won’t be happy with the loss, but I’ll be thrilled he’s still on the road to recovery. 

Good luck CC. 

Dodgers Postseason Pitching

The Dodgers pitching staff features the big two of Clayton Kershaw and Zack Greinke. They’re the two biggest obstacles to the NLCS. However, as you know and see below, they’ve had uneven performances in the postseason. Here’s how they’ve fared along with the rest of the Dodgers pitching staff:

Clayton Kershaw (8 starts, 3 relief appearances) 1-5, 5.12 ERA, 1.235 WHIP in 51.0 innings

Zack Greinke (7 starts) 2-2, 3.63 ERA, 1.052 WHIP in 44.2 innings

Brett Anderson (1 start, 1 relief appearance) 1-0, 1.42 ERA, 0.947 ERA in 6.1 innings

Luis Avilan (4 appearances) 0-0, 0.00 ERA, 1.500 WHIP in 2.2 innings
Joel Peralta (6 appearances) 0-0, 0.00 ERA, 1.235 WHIP in 5.2 innings
Jim Johnson (5 appearances) 0-1, 2 saves, 8.44 ERA, 1.688 WHIP in 5.1 innings
Kenley Jansen (7 appearances) 0-0, 3 saves, 3.38 ERA, 1.313 WHIP in 5.1 innings
J.P. Howell (23 appearances) 0-3, 3.26 ERA, 1.397 WHIP in 19.1 innings
Pedro Baez (2 appearances) 0-0, 7.71 ERA, 0.857 WHIP in 2.1 innings
I know Kershaw has not had a great postseason history, but sooner or later, he’s going to figure it out. The Dodgers may ride him and Greinke four out of five games. If that’s the case, the Mets need to work the count and up the pitch counts, they can hit the Dodgers terrible bullpen. 

This is the Mets best chance of beating the Dodgers. 

Dodgers Postseason Offense

Unlike the Mets, the Dodgers have a wealth (pun intended) of postseason experience. Here’s how they fared:

Adrian Gonzalez (18 games) .294/.360/.500 with four homeruns and 10 RBIs

Howie Kendrick (16 games) .186/.197/.288 with one homerun and two RBIs

Jimmy Rollins (46 games) .250/.314/.372 with three homeruns and 15 RBIs

Carl Crawford (35 games) .275/.309/.472 with seven homeruns and 16 RBIs

Yasiel Puig (14 games) .314/.364/.412 with zero homeruns and five RBIs

Andre Ethier (30 games) .231/.333/.407 with three homeruns and six RBIs

Scott Van Slyke (3 games) .000/.000/.000

A.J. Ellis (14 games) .386/.481/.682 with two homeruns and five RBIs

Chase Utley (46 games) .262/.402/.500 with 10 homeruns and 25 RBIs

Justin Turner (2 games) .000/.000/.000

Alberto Callaspo (7 games) .222/.222/.333 with no homeruns and one RBI
Chris Heisey (6 games) .000/.000/.000

From this we learn what we already knew, Gonzalez and Puig (if healthy) are the Mets biggest problems. Shutting them down will the key to winning the NLDS.

With that said, I’m confident in the Mets pitching staff. It’s why I think the Mets will win this series. 

Players Not on the Taxi Squad

Yesterday, the Mets announced the players they are putting on the taxi squadEric Young, Jr.Anthony ReckerLogan VerrettEric Campbell, and Bobby Parnell. I think we can separate the remaining players into three categories: (1) players definitely on the roster; (2) players who are in consideration for the roster; and (3) players who are just being sent home. The players definitely on the roster has already been addressed. Here’s the other two categories:

Players under Consideration 

Juan Uribe – the Mets want him on the roster, but it does not appear he’s healthy enough to play. I hope that August 23rd pinch hitting appearance was worth it.

Steven Matz – had he not slept on a couch, he would’ve been on the roster. Now the Mets have their fingers crossed he can pitch. 

Kirk Nieuwenhuis – he seems to be the front runner for Uribe’s spot. He plays all three OF positions, has speed, and has some pop in his bat. He’s had a rough year, but he’s had some big hits since returning to the Mets. 

Dilson Herrera – he’s the Mets best defensive infielder even if he only plays 2B. He’s got potential offensively and defensively.  He has not realized his potential yet, but he’s still a right handed bat with pop going into a series with good left handed pitching. 

Erik Goeddel – he seems to be a favorite to get a spot in the bullpen if Matz can’t pitch. In limited time, he’s shown a great splitter which has helped him with a 9.2 K/9. He could help with a strikeout in a big spot. 

Sean Gilmartin – he’s been the long man, but he has reverse splits with a series with a series with huge left-handed bats. His spot is tenuous mostly with the presence of Colon, Niese, and possibly Matz on the roster. 

Players Done for the Year

Johnny Monell – the Mets made their choice with Recker as the third catcher. 

Carlos Torres – he took the ball whenever he was asked until he got hurt. He had a skill that helps in the regular season, but he has no room on the playoff roster. 

Dario Alvarez – when he finally got a chance to pitch, he was effective. He got a huge strikeout of Bryce Harper back when the division was still in doubt. He go hurt, fought his way back, and he was ineffective. 

Eric O’Flaherty – there’s not enough words to describe how bad he’s been, so I’ll keep it short. He’s horrendous. 

There are still important decisions to be made. I know a lot of it hinges on Matz. I anticipate this will be a tight series, and these final choices may have a real impact. I hope they pick the right players. 

Does Uribe’s Injury Hurt the Mets?

Right now, it appears that Juan Uribe will miss the NLDS with torn cartilage in his rib cage. He won’t be on the roster, but the better question is, “Will the Mets miss him?”

Despite rumors to the contrary, Uribe is not a good postseason player. He’s hit .204/.241/.338 in 44 postseason games. As a Met, he’s hit .219/.301/.430 in 44 games.  He has hit lefties well going .272/.350/.543. As a pinch hitter, he’s 4-21 with a homer, four walks, and nine strikeouts. 

He’s 3-11 against Clayton Kershaw with a double, a homerun, and three strikeouts. He’s 5-20 against Zack Greinke with a double, a homerun, a walk, and a strikeout.  He’s 1-3 with a strikeout against Alex Wood. He’s 1-2 with a double against Brett Anderson. He’s never faced Kenly Jansen

Overall, Uribe has not been good with the Mets, even if he’s had his moments.  However, he wasn’t going to play in the NLDS even with all of the Dodgers’ lefties. The Mets are not going to sit Daniel Murphy. If they were inclined to sit Lucas DudaMichael Cuddyer would play first with Juan Lagares in center and Yoenis Cespedes in left. At best, Uribe would be a pinch hitter. 

Whether or not he can play, Uribe still has an important role on this team. He has won two World Series. He’s a veteran leader. He keeps the clubhouse loose. I appreciate players feel more a part of a team while being able to play, but Uribe has shown he’s a special clubhouse guy. He’s needed in the dugout and in the clubhouse. 

So no, the Mets aren’t hurt by Uribe’s inability to play. That still doesn’t mean he’s not needed. 

UPDATE: Uribe is definitely out

Re-Revised NLDS Roster

Well, it seems I was wrong about Eric Young, Jr.  I can’t say I am too upset about it. It seems like the last man on the roster will be Kirk Nieuwenhuis, although I still think Dilson Herrera is getting a long look as he’s not on the taxi squad. 

With that said, here’s my re-revised NLDS roster projection. 

Catchers

1. Travis d’Arnaud

2. Kevin Plawecki

Infielders

3. Lucas Duda

4. Daniel Murphy

5. David Wright

6. Ruben Tejada

7. Wilmer Flores

8. Kelly Johnson

Outfielders

9. Michael Conforto

10. Yoenis Cespedes

11. Curtis Granderson

12. Michael Cuddyer

13. Juan Lagares

14. Kirk Nieuwenhuis 

Starting Pitchers

15. Jacob deGrom

16. Noah Sundergaard

17. Matt Harvey

18. Bartolo Colon

Bullpen

19. Jeurys Familia

20. Addison Reed

21. Tyler Clippard

22. Hansel Robles

23. Jon Niese

24. Erik Goeddel

25. Sean Gilmartin

If he’s healthy, and he won’t be, Juan Uribe would replace Nieuwenhuis. Also, I’m not putting Steven Matz on my projected roster because he didn’t pitch. If I hear differently with the Instructuonal League appearance, I may still leave him off the projected roster. 

I can’t trust the Mets to be honest on the topic. If I’m convinced, then I would slot him in the rotation moving Colon to the bullpen. That would then bump Gilmartin from the roster. 

My IBWAA Ballot

AL MVP

  1. Josh Donaldson
  2. Mike Trout
  3. Lorenzo Cain
  4. Manny Machado
  5. Jose Bautista
  6. Mookie Betts
  7. Xander Bogaerts
  8. Jason Kipnis
  9. David Price
  10. Dallas Keuchel

AL Cy Young

  1. Chris Sale
  2. David Price 
  3. Dallas Keuchel
  4. Corey Kluber
  5. Chris Archer

AL Rookie of the Year

  1. Francisco Lindor
  2. Carlos Correa
  3. Aaron Sanchez

AL Manager of the Year

  1. Joe Girardi
  2. Terry Francona
  3. Jeff Banister

AL Reliever of the Year

  1. Dellin Betances
  2. Huston Street
  3. Bryan Shaw

NL MVP

  1. Bryce Harper
  2. Jayson Heyward
  3. Anthony Rizzo
  4. Paul Goldschmidt
  5. Zack Greinke
  6. Curtis Granderson
  7. Buster Posey
  8. Kris Bryant
  9. Clayton Kershaw
  10. Joey Votto

NL Cy Young

  1. Zack Greinke
  2. Clayton Kershaw
  3. Jake Arrieta
  4. Gerrit Cole
  5. Jacob deGrom

NL Rookie of the Year

  1. Kris Bryant
  2. Matt Duffy
  3. Jung Ho Kang

NL Manager of the Year

  1. Bruce Bochy
  2. Joe Maddon
  3. Clint Hurdle

NL Reliever of the Year

  1. Jeurys Familia
  2. Mark Melancon
  3. Kevin Siegrist