Reed Garrett
In Game Three of the AL Wild Card Series, Cam Schlitter was electric, and he had the type of performance we will talk about for years to come. Over eight shutout innings, he struck out 12 Boston Red Sox while walking none to help the New York Yankees advance to the ALDS against the Toronto Blue Jays.
When the Yankees called up Schlitter, their team was in trouble. Not only did they need another starter, but they were falling apart. Their division lead turned into a 3.5 game deficit in the AL East.
There was open discussion about the Yankees missing the postseason entirely. Not only did the Yankees not miss the postseason, but they would tie the division lead (was a Wild Card on tiebreakers), and they would advance to the ALDS.‘
At the time the Yankees called up Schlitter, there was a call for the Mets to call-up one of their trio of top pitching prospects. On that same July 9 date, the Mets were in first place, and to be fair, they did seem to have corrected the ship.
However, things would change. In early August, they would lose eight in a row. From July 28 – August 15, they were 2-14. TWO AND FOURTEEN!
The Mets once division lead was a six game deficit. Because of the state of the National League, they still somehow held onto a Wild Card spot, and at the time, they even seemed secured of a wild card spot. The joke would ultimately be on us.
During this stretch, the Mets saw Kodai Senga unable to pitch through his earlier injuries. David Peterson and Clay Holmes were hitting a wall with their innings. Sean Manaea was incapable of pitching through his elbow injury.
During this stretch, we not only saw the aforementioned starters falter, but we also saw starts from Frankie Montas and Reed Garrett (acting as an opener for Montas). Both pitchers would go down with season ending injuries.
Finally, on August 16, Nolan McLean would get his first start of the season. The Mets had to drop out of the NL East race and put themselves in the mix for the Wild Card before the Mets reached for McLean.
During the course of the season, the Mets would also give starts to Paul Blackburn, Blade Tidwell, and a series of openers. Notably, Blackburn would be released on August 18, two days after McLean’s first start. Tidwell was moved at the trade deadline in the Tyler Rogers trade.
With young prospects, it is always a guessing game. McLean was ready from the moment he was called up, and he pitched like an ace. Jonah Tong was the most heralded of the players called up, and he faltered.
It’s difficult to know if McLean would have been ready a month or two earlier. To that point, Schlitter made five Triple-A starts this year before his call-up. McLean had made 13 starts.
As of July 9, McLean had made nine starts and two piggyback starts. He was 3-4 with a 2.52 ERA and 65 strikeouts over 60.2 innings. At that point, Schlitter had made five Triple-A starts going 2-1 with a 3.80 ERA and 35 strikeouts over 23.2 innings.
Again, this is not a science, but McLean was ahead of Schlitter in many ways, but the Yankees made the decision much quicker than the Mets. That was even with Schlitter getting shelled in his last Triple-A start.
Meanwhile, McLean made five more starts in Triple-A. During that timeframe, the Mets were 9-13. They lost two-out-of-three to the Cincinnati Reds. Those games were literally the reason why the Mets did not make the postseason.
McLean made five extra starts in Triple-A with four out of the five being very good. It was during this stretch that the Mets lost the Wild Card because that stretch is where they lost the tiebreakers.
The Yankees called up Schlitter. They claimed a Wild Card spot, and they won the Wild Card series behind a brilliant start by Schlitter. McLean was brilliant for the Mets, but because the Mets waited, they missed out on the postseason.
If you want to criticize Stearns, the Yankees gave you every reason why in Game 3 of the Wild Card series.
By all accounts, Dom Hamel has struggled since his promotion to Triple-A Syracuse last season. This season, it got to the point where Hamel was moved out of the rotation.
There are a number of reasons. His low 90s fastball doesn’t play as well as a starter in the upper limits of the minors. He’s become more of a guy living on the edges than attacking the strike zone. The ensuing walks get you in trouble.
That said, Hamel still does a lot right. He has a high spin sweeper and a change that generates a number of swings and misses. He has a cutter he either needs to complete refine or scrap. He still has a good 12-6 curve.
He’s been far more effective against right-handed batters limiting them to a .222/.276/.284 batting line. He’s struggles against left-handed batters with them hitting .303/.389/.487 against him.
Part of that is he has a plan of attack against right-handed batters. He’s a fastball-sweeper pitcher against them. Against left-handed batters, he hasn’t truly decided on the change or curve as the main secondary pitch.
In the end, he’s not a starter for a few reasons. He’s a two pitch pitcher against right-handed batters. Left-handed batters are feasting on him. He lacks a true third pitch.
However, there are numbers that portend success at the next level.
Hamel strikes out over a batter per inning (10.19 K/9). He has a 43.8 GB%. In his minor league career, his FIP has typically been better than his ERA. There are just some pitchers who perform better at the Major League level, and Hamel just may be one of those guys.
This is a good time to try it too.
Hamel has been pitching well out of the pen. Over his last four appearances, he has struck out 10 over nine innings with a 2.00 ERA and 1.111 WHIP.
Being in the bullpen allows him to scrap some pitches and increase some velocity. Working with Jeremy Hefner can get him to another level. In some ways, Hamel can be the effective multiple inning reliever Hefner has helped Jose Butto become.
As we well know, the Mets need multiple inning relievers with their pitching staff being decimated by injuries. It’s not just their being without Sean Manae, Kodai Senga, Griffin Canning, and Tylor Megill in the rotation and AJ Minter in the bullpen.
There’s the trickle down effect to the bullpen. They’re overtaxed. We are seeing Reed Garrett and Huascar Brazibán wear down and struggle.
Hamel could potentially provide multiple innings to take the burden away from the Mets top relievers. He can eat innings when pitchers like Blade Tidwell falter, or Clay Holmes continues to manage his innings.
If it fails, it fails. Much of what the Mets are doing now is failing. It’s worth a gamble on a multi-inning reliever with a high strikeout and spin rate.
This could be Butto. It could be more of the same. It’s worth a shot.
The New York Mets catapulted themselves into postseason contention after a disastrous May. As the team clawed its way back Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo implored the front office to be buyers at the trade deadline.
Truth be told, this was easier said than done.
Kodai Senga was hurt most of the season, and worse yet, he suffered a season ending injury in his only start of the season. There went a much needed top of the rotation starter.
The bullpen has long been a problem all season. Just when they think they find something, it falls apart.
Reed Garrett was a revelation until he wasn’t, and now, he’s hurt. Adrian Houser was a revelation until he wasn’t, and now, he’s gone.
We’ve seen Dedniel Núñez and Sean Reid-Foley fulfill their promise. Both are on the IL. Everytime the Mets found something, it fell apart.
They could never build a bridge to Edwin Díaz, a closer who still isn’t the Díaz of 2022.
The prices at the trade deadline were astronomical. Case-in-point, the Mets overpaid to acquire Jesse Winker from the Washington Nationals. At least based on what we saw, it wasn’t quite the overpay it was because the market was that absurd.
Stearns effectively gave up nothing for Phil Maton, who had been great for the Mets this far. He gave up a lower tiered older prospect who struggled in Triple-A for Ryne Stanek. Stanek has struggled this year, but he has a good track record.
He obtained Paul Blackburn from the Oakland Athletics for a promising pitcher. Blackburn was a 2022 All-Star, and he’s under team control for another year.
The Blackburn acquisition gets a struggling Tylor Megill out of the rotation and could make him a bullpen option. It also keeps Jose Buttó, the only good remaining reliever in the pen, in the bullpen.
The Mets obtained Tyler Zuber from the Rays for a boom-or-bust minor league reliever. Zuber has options remaining and is not yet arbitration eligible.
Finally, the Mets got THE big piece by obtaining Huascar Brazobán. He’s having a terrific year for the Miami Marlins and will be under team control for four more seasons. All that for a utility player prospect.
Make no mistake losing Tyler Stuart and Kade Morris hurts. However, it doesn’t hurt nearly as much as watching Carlos Mendoza left with no good options in the bullpen leaving even the largest of Mets leads unsafe.
Suddenly, you can argue the Mets bullpen is one of the team’s strengths. It went from drowning to a sufficient bridge to Díaz.
Looking at the team, the lineup is better with Winker. The rotation is better with Blackburn. The bullpen was completely overhauled like it needed to be.
The Mets never got the ace. They didn’t get a top set-up man. You could argue they needed to do more, but you’ll notice Blake Snell and Tarik Skubal weren’t traded.
This team is significantly better, and they did it by minimizing the hit to the farm system. They turned their biggest weakness into a strength. They solidified themselves as a legit postseason caliber club.
David Stearns had a near flawless trade deadline. Between him and Steve Cohen, we see they will go for it, and the Mets are extraordinarily well run.
Call this a test balloon if you will, but Stearns showed his has what it takes to get the Mets to the 2024 postseason. He showed he has what it takes to get another World Series title to Queens.