Musings
The 2020 season will mark the first time since 1983 I have not attended a Mets game. It’ll also be the first time I haven’t attended at least one game with my father. It’s sad and depressing.
This year will also mark the first time I won’t bring my sons to a game. Both attended a game before their first birthday. The worst part is my oldest is at the age where he truly gets it, and he’s a big fan in his own right.
This isn’t an adjustment for me. It’s that way for all Mets fans. It’s also the same for players who will have to play games in huge stadiums and ballparks without fans.
Maybe it doesn’t have to be this way.
Across the country, there are pop-up drive-in movie theaters. Some are doing the old school double feature. Jim Gaffigan had a comedy special he humorously called a drive thru special. If we can see a movie or a comedy show, why not a Mets game?
Citi Field has a large lot abutting the stadium in addition to other lots in the general area. Why couldn’t the Mets set up a drive-in theatre in those lots to allow fans to “attend the game” with other fans from the safety of their cars?
The MLB teams saying they’re losing money by playing can get a revenue stream. The fans who miss going to games could get some part of the community feel of attending games. If the fans are loud enough, who knows? Maybe the crowd noise could carry into the stadium a bit and provide the players with some energy (not very likely, but then again who knows?).
Sure, there is a lot to figure out before going forward with such a plan. There are distancing and security measures. There is probably some red tape from the TV contracts which need to be figured out before proceeding. There bounds to be bathroom logistics. There’s also the State and City of New York who may not be so eager to do it.
That said, it’s a worthwhile endeavor. Fans would very likely come to the games, and teams would at least get some revenue stream. For those laid off or not re-employed due to the COVID19 shutdown, it creates some jobs for people in terms of security, traffic flow, handling the set up, and maybe even concessions. (h/t @jquadddddd)
Mostly, it would all help us feel just a little bit more normal. As for me, it would help me keep my nearly four decade streak of going to Mets games alive.
More than that, it’s a game experience no one will ever forget. That’s exactly what every team strives to create. They can do that now by allowing fans to congregate (six feet apart) in their parking lot to come together and watch a Mets game.
As part of the COVID19 measures, Major League teams have a player pool of 60 players. Those are the players a team can call up and utilize over the course of the 2020 season. One of the players in the Seattle Mariners’ pool is Jarred Kelenic.
This isn’t too surprising as many teams are carrying top prospects. This will help them develop their top guys instead of those players losing a full year of development. However, with Kelenic, we were reminded again today he could make an impact this year.
So a source sent me the video of Jarred Kelenic’s swing on the homer in live BP. The sound … pic.twitter.com/82RG82id4t
— Ryan Divish (@RyanDivish) July 7, 2020
Last year, in his first full pro season, Kelenic made it all the way to Double-A. This was someone who graduated high school in 2018, and now, he’s on the cusp of making it to the Majors.
That should be contrasted against the ever changing narrative behind trading him. First, it was the Mets had to keep Edwin Diaz away from the Phillies.
When Diaz faltered, and Robinson Cano looked every bit the 36 year old coming off a PED suspension, the narrative was that Kelenic wasn’t going to help anyone for five years, and the Mets are a win-now team.
With Kelenic bursting through to Double-A and the Mets not actually winning now, Brodie Van Wagenen now wants to sell he felt comfortable making the deal (and other deals) because he had his super aggressive draft strategy in mind. Honestly, that seems far more post hoc justification with Van Wagenen trying to lean into the one aspect of the GM job he’s ultimately done well.
Fact is, Van Wagenen knew his former client Cano wanted to come back to New York. His first act as the Mets GM was to try to make that happen.
As inexcusable that conflict of interest was, that’s not the worst part of this deal. Remember, Van Wagenen was an agent trying to get Cano to New York and get an extension or trade for Jacob deGrom. He wasn’t out there scouting and watching Appalachian and Gulf Coast League games.
That’s right. A novice GM with zero front office experience traded a once in a lifetime prospect in exchange for a former client. He traded one of the best regarded prospects in the game despite never actually taking the time to scout him. It’s beyond absurd.
In the end, the Mets better win soon with Cano and Diaz because the Mets are running out of justifications for this trade, and it’s very likely they will all be gone when Kelenic is in the majors.
Judging from last year and his place in the 60 man pool, that day is coming much sooner rather than later. Certainly, it’s going to be much sooner than the bogus five year selling point.
But to be fair to Van Wagenen, how could he have possibly known? After all, he would’ve actually had to scout and watch Kelenic in action.
December 2019 was great. You didn’t need a mask to leave your home. In fact, you were actually allowed to leave your home and go wherever you wanted. Better yet, the Wilpons sold an 80% stake in the Mets to Steve Cohen for $2.1 billion ($2.6 billion valuation).
It was a sweetheart deal for the Wilpons, and the Wilpons blew up that deal like the financial masterminds they are.
Going back to the deal, there was going to be a five year transition period where majority ownership would shift incrementally to Cohen. The Wilpons would keep an ownership share, and they would be on the payroll for those five years. More importantly, the Wilpons would get to keep SNY.
From there, a he-said, he-said broke out. As it turns out, the Wilpons really wanted to keep control of the team over those five years. That meant not only running the team with Cohen’s money, but also being the delegated and appointed decision makers for MLB purposes.
Between that and the Wilpons pushing for lucrative salaries, Cohen backed out of the deal. Like every Mets fan for the past decade plus, he had enough of the Wilpons.
That left the owners who actually needed to sell due to their continual financial malfeasance looking for another deal. Of course, there’s no better deal out there. COVID19 or not, there was never going to be a better offer.
According to reports, so far, the first round of bidding has not yielded a $2 billion offer. That’s even with bidders attempting to incorporate SNY into the purchase. It is expected the Wilpons will reject those offers as they will not sell the team for less than $2 billion.
In essence, the Wilpons are going to have to include SNY in a deal to get LESS in return than what Cohen originally agreed to pay them in December. Seeing all this transpire, you become less and less surprised this was a group of people who nearly lost everything in a Ponzi Scheme.
If the Wilpons really wanted $2 billion, they should’ve done everything they could’ve done to ensure the deal with Cohen was finalized. Instead, they wanted control of the team, and likely, one real shot at a World Series title to show us all what they could do if they could spend money. Of course, they could’ve had they not lost all that money in a Ponzi Scheme.
In the end, the Wilpons will get their $2 billion because someone will pay it. When they get it, they’ll have to realize their own hubris cost them SNY and any chance they could’ve gone out winners. The only people who are surprised by that development are the Wilpons.
So, congratulations to the Wilpons for the eventual $2 billion. While you didn’t earn it, you’ve certainly earned the ridicule which will come when everyone laughs at the Wilpons final act as owners being losing money in a botched financial decision by the team.
The jokes will be hilarious, and the future of the team will be even better than that.
When it comes to the Mets, there have been several bad to disastrous free agent signings. In fact, up until recently, there was a real debate over which signing was the worst.
Players like Bobby Bonilla and Kazuo Matsui never quite fulfilled his promise. Roger Cedeno was nowhere near the player he was in 1999 when he returned to Queens. Jason Bay didn’t hit for power before the concussions happened.
Oliver Perez completely fell apart when he signed his deal. Luis Castillo was terrible, and he dropped that pop up.
As bad as those were, there was Vince Coleman, who was an unmitigated disaster. Aside from his numbers falling off a cliff, he threw firecrackers at fans, injured Dwight Gooden with a golf club, and he was accused of sexual assault (charges never filed).
Looking at it, Coleman was probably the worst of the group. When you consider the long standing animosity Mets fans had towards him prior to the signing and his off the field problems, he may still have claim to that title.
However, when it comes to on the field performance, Jed Lowrie is definitively the worst ever Mets signing. We just need to look at video from the Mets summer camp yesterday to confirm that.
Jed Lowrie is participating in base running drills with his brace on. His speed is definitely not game-ready. pic.twitter.com/PyVmUqT9J4
— Deesha (@DeeshaThosar) July 5, 2020
Rewinding back to Spring Training last year, Lowrie was initially described as having left knee soreness. Time and again, the Mets downplayed the injury, and to date, they have yet to really reveal what the injury actually is.
They didn’t reveal it when he had multiple rehab assignments shut down. They didn’t reveal it when he was 0-for-7 as a pinch hitter in September. They didn’t reveal it when he came to Spring Training this year not really ready to play. Even months later, they’re still not revealing it. Worse yet, they’re downplaying it.
New manager Luis Rojas was put in the position today that Mickey Callaway failed far too often. He had to offer an out-and-out lie and make it sound believable. According to what Rojas said, Lowrie is a “full go.”
Later in the day, we saw the video running and realized there’s no way that’s true. Lowrie is not a full go, and to a certain extent the Mets talking about Lowrie ramping up to try to play without a brace is a strawman. All told, brace or no brace, this is simply a player who can’t get on the field.
The more you see the aborted rehab attempts, the lack of explanations for the injury, the mixed messages, and Lowrie’s inability to do anything but swing the bat, the more you’re reminded of David Wright. Before his send off, Wright would make similar attempts to get back, but ultimately his body wouldn’t let him. It seems the same with Lowrie.
Maybe Lowrie is different , but that’s anyone’s guess. Really, that’s all we have. That’s partially because the Mets revealed no news, and it’s because Lowrie didn’t either.
Asked what is exactly wrong with his leg, Lowrie said he doesn't want to create a distraction.
— Mike Puma (@NYPost_Mets) July 5, 2020
Maybe telling everyone why his knee, left side, or whatever else the Mets want to call it would be more of a distraction than it is already. Maybe it won’t. Whatever the case, when you strip it all down, the Mets gave a two year $20 million deal to a guy who just can’t play.
The Mets didn’t need Lowrie when they signed him. They already had Robinson Cano, Todd Frazier, and Jeff McNeil. What they needed was arms in the bullpen, but they already allocated their budget towards an infielder who would wind up doing no more than a few pinch hitting attempts (without a hit). You could say the Mets not having those extra arms in the pen is what cost them the postseason last year.
Ultimately, Lowrie is getting $20 million from the Mets, and he can’t get on the field. The money allocated towards him could’ve addressed other deficiencies on the roster and helped pushed the Mets into the postseason. Brodie Van Wagenen signed his former client, who was too injured to even start one game, and with that Van Wagenen quite possibly made the single worst free agent signing in Mets history.
Starting with the Robinson Cano/Jarred Kelenic trade, Brodie Van Wagenen’s trades have been bad to disastrous.
With Jeurys Familia and Jed Lowrie, you have to say the bad signings far outweighs the good signings (Justin Wilson).
Good and productive players like Travis d’Arnaud have been released while the Mets stuck by players like Adeiny Hechavarria for far too long.
Between the hiring and firing of Carlos Beltran, throwing chairs at Mickey Callaway, and his ducking the media, you really have to wonder if Van Wagenen has the judgment, temperament, or even the ability to be a General Manager.
But then, there are the drafts.
Van Wagenen has been bold and daring. He’s taken full advantage of Sandy Anderson holdovers like Tommy Tanous and Marc Tramuta to both scout and draft real high end talent in the draft.
In 2019, the Mets drafted two first round talents in Brett Baty and Matthew Allan. With respect to Allan, he had dropped in the draft due to signability concerns. Not only did the Mets get Allan in the third round, but they were also able to sign him for a bonus lower than many expected.
This year, the Mets did it again, which is an even more impressive feat. It’s more impressive because this draft was only five rounds giving the Mets a tighter margin of error.
That didn’t matter as not only did the Mets draft Pete Crow-Armstrong in the first round, but they also drafted J.T. Ginn in the second round. Ginn is a first round talent who was actually a Dodgers first round pick two years ago. Ginn wouldn’t sign with the Dodgers, but he did with the Mets. Adding Isaiah Greene to this draft class was a coup.
If Van Wagenen did nothing but manage the draft, he’d arguably be the best General Manager in the game. For that matter, if Van Wagenen did nothing but draft, the Mets would have the top farm system in the game, and they’d be primed for another 1980s like run, only this time with two Wild Cards essentially insuring the Mets would be a perennial postseason team.
That said, give credit where credit is due. Van Wagenen has been bold, daring, and more than able to get the job done when it comes to the draft. If he could somehow harness those skills in other aspects of the job, perhaps he could justify sticking around past the eventual Wilpon sale of the team.
We must be getting to baseball season because Yankees fans are going out of their way to tell everyone Aaron Judge is better than Pete Alonso. Clearly, you can see Alonso winning the Home Run Derby and breaking Judge’s rookie home run record is bothering that fan base. As we have seen, they do not like sharing the spotlight.
We’ve seen them talk about how there was a juiced ball last year, which there was. Of note, there was also a juiced ball in Judge’s rookie year of 2017. Of course, 2017 was also the year the Yankees were fined for sign stealing, and they’re fighting tooth and nail to keep what they’ve done secret.
Aside from all that, Alonso broke Judge’s record, and that doesn’t sit well with some Yankees fans. It also apparently doesn’t sit well with them how Alonso is grabbing all of the attention as well he should.
In addition, to setting the rookie home run record, he’s shown himself to be a great person. Instead of starting off on the wrong foot with Dominic Smith, a player he was purportedly battling with for the first base job, he reached out to Smith, and the two became good friend. Really, anyone who has ever played with Alonso will tell you he’s a great teammate.
When Alonso won the Home Run Derby, he donated $50,000 to the Wounded Warrior Project and $50,000 to Tunnel to Towers. Later in the season, when MLB again refused to allow Mets players to wear the caps, Alonso, on his own accord, got first responder cleats for his teammates.
Because of all of this, and what the future holds, Mets fans rightfully adore Alonso. It’s the same thing with Yankees fans, they rightfully adore Judge.
Here’s the thing. Judge is a better baseball player. Alonso had a 5.2 WAR last year. In his three full seasons, Judge has not posted lower than a 5.5 WAR.
Notably, that 5.5 WAR was last year as injuries would limit Judge to just 102 games. That’s after a year he had a 5.7 WAR after injuries limited him to 112 games. Putting up WAR to that level in those few games is an astonishing feat. Make no mistake, Judge is a truly great player.
He’s also an increasingly injured one. In 2018, he was hit by a pitch and missed time with a broken wrist. In 2019, he missed time with an oblique strain. If the 2020 season had started on time, there’s a legitimate question whether he’d been playing right now as he’s been dealing with a stress fracture in his ribs. In fact, it’s still not clear whether he’ll be ready for this new Opening Day.
Instead of Yankees fans comparing Alonso to Judge, they should really be concerned about whether Judge can play again. The Yankees will certainly need him in this shortened season which will feature far too many AL/NL East matchups.
When and if Judge plays, and if he’s at full health, he will likely be better than Alonso. Still, Alonso should put up the better numbers as he’ll be fully healthy and ready to go from Opening Day. If both are healthy and ready Opening Day, it may be fun to watch them battle all season long.
No matter what the result one thing needs to be perfectly clear. Even if Judge is far better than Alonso, he will still fall well short of being the best baseball player in New York. That honor goes to Jacob deGrom, and in those comparisons just like in 31.6% of his plate appearances, Judge strikes out.
On July 20, 2018, Yoenis Cespedes had not faced Major League pitching in over two months. In fact, he had all of 12 plate appearances, all of which were below the Triple-A level.
More than that, Cespedes needed double heel surgery. Despite all that was wrong and how rusty he was, the Mets activated him for the sole purpose of being a DH in an Interleague Game against the New York Yankees. Watching him that day, you’d have no idea how badly injured he was, or that he had not played in nearly two months.
In that game, Cespedes was 2-for-4 with two runs, a walk, a homer, and an RBI. This should serve as a reminder of what Cespedes can do when he steps foot on the baseball field . . . . even when he’s not healthy.
We know he missed all of 2019 after double heel surgery and a broken ankle stemming from a wild boar attack. We know about that drama and the rust. There’s the ramp up to Spring Training and the COVID19 necessitated shut down of baseball. These are all factors why anyone could struggle.
However, this is Cespedes. We’ve seen him hit when no one else couldn’t physically stepped foot on the field. He’s a special player who can be a difference maker. No one can tell you whether he’s going to be in good enough shape, whether there’s too much rust, or just how much this shutdown has impacted him.
What we can say is we’ve seen Cespedes do this before, and he’s just about as exciting a player as there is in baseball. With reports he’s ready to play, it’s time to get excited to see Cespedes play baseball again.
While a player may be the face of any professional sports league, it is ultimately the commissioner of the league who is the voice. When a commissioner speaks, you need to listen because he is the person who has the ability to change and shape the game.
Of course, the commissioner has little to no autonomy. In many ways, he is the spokesperson of the owners of his league. With that, it is important to remember that when the commissioner is speaking, he is oft times delivering someone else’s message. To that end, leagues absolutely need someone who has the gravitas to not only be authoritarian when needed, but also to be able to proclaim an undying love of their sport.
When you look at David Stern, that’s what you got. You may have hated Bud Selig, but at the end of the day, no one anywhere questioned his love of baseball. When you have a commissioner who loves the game, you are more willing to accept criticism of the game as more of looking for progress than whining about the product.
That’s where Rob Manfred’s ultimate failure has been. No one really truly believes he actually loves baseball. In fact, it is fair to question whether he even likes the sport. People notice, and they act accordingly.
Look at the current negotiations with the players. He keeps pushing for fewer games. He doesn’t couch it for COVID19 concerns, or even pitcher’s health concerns. No, he continues to push the aspect of revenues instead of health and games. Again, this is an important point where your commissioner’s messaging matters.
This follows a pattern with Manfred. He wants to contract 42 minor league teams. He wants fewer players drafted. He has talked about a shorter schedule. While the NFL is at 32 teams, and the NHL will soon be there, Manfred does not want expansion. Everywhere you turn, Manfred keeps making the argument for less and less baseball. That does not sound like someone who loves the sport.
That’s why you can and should have a healthy skepticism when he suggests changes to the sport including an universal DH, radical realignment, and things like a pitch clock. Time and again, his suggestions sound like someone who does not like baseball and just wants the sport to be different in the hopes it will capture his interest.
When you are a commissioner who constantly downgrades his product when he speaks, picks labor fights, and pushes for less and less baseball, people will notice. That starts with the fans, and it goes to advertisers. Sooner or later, when all you hear is negativity from the commissioner, people are just going to walk away.
The first major corporate sponsor to walk away was Coca-Cola.
Now, we don’t know how much of that is related to all business taking a hit due to COVID19. We don’t know if Coca-Cola is re-imagining their advertising approach. All in all, we don’t know their reasons, and whether they will begin to take similar actions with other industries.
What we do know is this comes on the heels of the current MLB labor fight which has not been received well by anyone. It comes on the heels of Manfred pushing for fewer games and fewer teams. It just comes on the heels of a continuous assault on the sport by the commissioner.
Whatever the case and whatever the reason Coca-Cola left, they left. With them went one of the largest businesses in the world. When they left, they left the message they’ll continue to do business with individual teams, but not MLB as an entity. No matter how you want to spin that, that is a direct response to Manfred’s stewardship of MLB.
While the owners have let a lot of bad messaging from their personal messenger Manfred slide, you can’t imagine they are going to let this slide. That goes double when different owners are making the laughable claims right now about the profits and value of their teams and the sport.
Before the country was shut down due to COVID19, the Wilpons were already struggling financially. With all that has happened, you might forgotten Mike Ozanian of Forbes reported the Wilpons, by and through their real estate arm, Sterling Equities, had not come up with their share of the $800 million financing for the building of the Islanders new arena at Belmont.
Not too long after this news had disseminated, we heard that the Wilpons had agreed to sell their majority stake in the New York Mets to Steve Cohen. As we know, Cohen walked away from the deal after the Wilpons insisted on control of the team using Cohen’s money to finance their decisions and for escalating salaries. Unlike other times the Wilpons almost sold the team, the Wilpons renewed their efforts to sell their stake in the team.
After that, the country would be shut down by COVID19 thereby affecting the economy. Nearly every industry has been negatively impacted. On the sale front, it only seems as if Alex Rodriguez wants to buy the team, but he is still struggling to amass a group of partners to build the capital necessary to purchase the team.
As the COVID19 shutdown has continued, we have seen the Mets and the Wilpons make cuts. While teams like the Kansas City Royals did not release minor leaguers, the Mets released 39. While nearly every team released players, the Mets 39 is near the top of the list.
Unlike most teams, we have seen the Mets make fans jump through hoops to get refunds. They were one of only two MLB teams to not immediately refund games for the Month of May. Finally, in June, they opted to give an option for a May refund. As noted by Ken Davidoff of the New York Post, you needed to do some digging to even find the refund option.
SNY, which has been a cash cow for the Mets for years, has also been impacted. Andrew Marchand of the New York Post reported the network cancelled two shows while also laying off some staff. That came after there had been some other layoffs at the network. When SNY is this impacted, you know things are bad for the Wilpons.
Now, Josh Kosman and Thornton McEnery of the New York Post report Standard & Poor’s has now downgraded Citi Field bonds to junk status “saying it may need to tap its debt reserve to make a $22 million payment due in December — and warning that it could run out of money next year if there’s a baseball strike.”
Keep in mind, this is just June. There is still a half a year remaining, and we are seeing the Wilpon owned Mets and SNY losing money and having to make significant and deep cuts. This is all the more notable when the Wilpons struggled to secure financing on the Islanders arena project, and as Kevin Draper of the New York Times reported, the Mets were a team up against MLB’s debt limits and were losing $50 million a year.
At this point, the question needs to be asked – how much longer can the Wilpons hold onto the Mets? At what point does everything come toppling down? When does MLB step in like they did with the McCourts, or when do the Mets have to go through bankruptcy like the Rangers?
No matter what the answers to those or other questions, one thing is painstakingly clear – the Wilpons are forever going to ruin the day they let their own hubris stand in the way of collecting $2.1 billion from Steve Cohen. That goes double when you consider no one is rushing to their door now with any money.
At one point, Major League Baseball moved itself away from the sport of Cap Anson to the sport of Jackie Robinson. With that breaking of the color barrier, MLB would see some of the greatest and most exciting players join the league to bring the game to an even higher level.
Despite MLB being the league to break the color barrier, the numbers of black players in the majors continue to dwindle. According to Forbes, only 7.7% of MLB players were black, and there were 11 teams without a black player.
Contrast that with the NFL and NBA. The Atlantic estimates 70% of the NFL is black. The New York Times estimates 80% of the NBA is black.
MLB is not ignorant of the issue. Rather, the league of Jackie Robinson seems upset by these dwindling numbers, and they’ve sought to institute programs like the RBI program to help get more black players to play the game.
At this point, it seems like MLB is paying lip service to this. One reason why is no matter how much they say they want more black players, the numbers keep dwindling. This just shows what they’re doing isn’t working, and we’re not seeing them pivot to other plans which may work better.
Another reason why is the current state of this country after George Floyd’s death. There have been several actions and statements about it from both people and businesses. That includes the NFL and NBA:
— NFL (@NFL) May 30, 2020
Tonight at 7:00 PM ET on @NBA – #NBATogether with Ernie Johnson (@TurnerSportsEJ) continues as Lloyd Pierce, @SwinCash, David Griffin (@dg_riff), and Alvin Gentry discuss racism, police brutality, and our shared responsibility to drive change. #NBAVoices pic.twitter.com/PejW2HF2XT
— NBA (@NBA) June 1, 2020
Somehow, those statements have not included MLB.
Yes, there are players like Marcus Stroman and Pete Alonso who have offered statements. There have been individual teams who have released statements. But, MLB as an organization, led by Commissioner Rob Manfred, has been silent.
Perhaps, next time MLB publicly wrings their hands on why they can’t get black people interested in baseball, we can all point to this moment. We can say MLB was absent and silent at a pivotal time, and that silence delivers a very real message. It should also make you wonder just how much MLB really cares about black participation rates in the sport.