Musings

The Matt Harvey Replacement Isn’t Here Anymore

Steven Matz has bone spurs in his pitching elbow, and the Mets talked him out if having inseason surgery to remove them. Noah Syndergaard also has bone spurs in his pitching elbow, but it appears like it’s nowhere near as serious as Matz’s. Zack Wheeler has had a number of setbacks in his Tommy John rehab, and the best case scenario has him returning to the Mets mid to late August. Now, worst of all, Matt Harvey may have thoracic outlet syndrome.

Anyone one of these pitchers may miss an extended period of time, and the Mets replacements are less than inspiring. 

First up as always is spot starter Logan Verrett who has a 5.32 ERA in his five starts this year. Sean Gilmartin has a 7.00 ERA in his limited appearances with the Mets this year. Seth Lugo had an electrifying one inning appearance before bring sent back down to AAA where he has a 6.55 ERA. Rafael Montero hasn’t been much better with his 6.31 AAA ERA and his 11.57 major league ERA. Finally, there’s 23 year old Gabriel Ynoa who may not be ready for the majors. 

For a team that is built on pitching, these are not viable options. These pitchers are not carrying these Mets back to the World Series like the pitching did in 2015. 

No, the Mets need a pitcher like Michael Fulmer.  Fulmer has made 13 starts this year going 9-2 with a 2.11 ERA and a 1.096 WHIP. He’s throwing a 96 MPH fastball and an 89 MPH Warthen slider. If he was in the Mets rotation right now, he would arguably be the best pitcher in their rotation. At the very least, he’s top three. There’s one problem. 

Fulmer’s a Tiger. Fulmer was one of 12 pitchers the Mets have traded away since the 2015 offseason. Make no mistake. Fulmer was the best of the lot.

Many have justified his departure as he was traded away to acquire Yoenis Cespedes. Cespedes would go off in August and September with an offensive display Mets fans haven’t seen since Mike Piazza was leading the Mets to back-to-back postseason appearances. The Mets would fall just short of the ultimate goal as they lost the World Series in five games. 

Arguably, the Mets needed Cespedes to reach that point. However, in acquiring him, the Mets gave up Fulmer’s entire career. They gave up the very player they may need this year just to get back to the World Series. The Mets may have sacrificed their chances in 2016 and beyond for the run they made last year. 

The reason is because pitching is fragile. No matter how good you think you have it there’s a bone spur, a torn collateral ligament, or a shoulder condition that can take an ace pitcher away.  It’s why an organization needs as much high end pitching depth as it can get their hands on. Yesterday’s surplus becomes today’s necessity. 

Fulmer was seen as surplus last year, and he was moved for Cespedes.  With Harvey’s, Wheeler’s, and Matz’s medical issues, he’s now a necessity that is pitching for the Detroit Tigers. 

Wright & Reyes Still Aren’t Together

In 2004, the Mets called up David Wright to play alongside Jose Reyes.  At that moment, everyone imagined the pair winning World Series titles, having their numbers retired, and joining one another again in Cooperstown.  As it would turn it, they couldn’t spend their careers playing alongside one another.  With the Mets financial troubles, the Mets had to choose between the two.

Reyes had been in the Mets organization since he signed as a 16 year old out of the Dominican Republic.  During his tenure with the Mets, he was the team’s sparkplug.  He energized the players on the field, and he energized the fans in the stands.  He was the team’s single season and all-time leader in stolen bases.  He was the all-time leader in triples.  His speed on the basepaths was only matched by the speed in which he threw the ball.  He was the greatest shortstop in Mets history.

He also played alongside the greatest third baseman in Mets history.  Wright was the lifelong Mets fan who was the MVP type talent.  He was a Gold Glove third baseman and a 30/30 man.    He was the player the Mets seemed to be grooming to become the face of the franchise.  In many ways, Wright was the chosen one.  It should come as no surprise that with Reyes’ free agency in 2011, the Mets picked Wright over Reyes.

From that point forward, it was a difficult road for both.

Reyes initially signed with the Marlins only to be traded away one season later to the Blue Jays.  During his time on the unforgiving turf of the Rogers Centre, Reyes would not only suffer injuries, but he would also lose a step or two.  For the first two years, the Blue Jays underachieved.  They were unable to make a real push for the postseason.  When they were finally able to do so in 2015, the Blue Jays traded him away for Troy Tulowitzki.  Reyes was with the Rockies for a last place club.  In that offseason, he would be charged with domestic violence.  Heading into this season, he would be suspended for 51 games and released by the Rockies.

Wright had his own problems when he was apart from Reyes.  He had troubles with Citi Field like most of the Mets hitters did under the original constructs of the outfield walls.  Since the Mets moved to Citi Field, Wright seemingly alternated between healthy and injury prone seasons.  He alternated between an All Star caliber player and an average third baseman.  All the while, the Mets were a sub-.500 team that were going nowhere fast.  It was discovered in 2015 that Wright suffered spinal stenosis.  He would return to be able to play in the World Series and be the Mets 2016 Opening Day third baseman, but he was no longer the same player.  This year, Wright’s body would break down yet again with him requiring a discectomy and cervical fusion.  He was all but gone for the season.  The Mets were left in a lurch as they needed a third baseman.

With the Mets in need of a third baseman and Reyes in need of a job, the two came together to give Reyes a chance at redemption.  In order to make room for Reyes on the 40 man roster, the Mets moved Wright to the 60 day disabled list. Wright and Reyes still aren’t united as both will not take the field aside one another like we all assumed they would do in 2004.  Amazingly, Reyes has become Wright’s replacement not just at third base, but also on the roster as Wright was placed on the 60 day disabled list to make room for Reyes.

This was the second time the Mets had to sacrifice one to make room for the other.  It was never supposed to be this way.  They were supposed to be on the same team for their entire careers.  They were supposed to be side-by-side from 2004 until their induction in Cooperstown.  It hasn’t worked out that way.  In fact, they may never play alongside each other ever again.

Reyes’ Se7en

There’s a box laying in an empty Mets clubhouse.  An unsuspecting Travis d’Arnaud is standing over the box accompanied by Curtis Granderson and Jose Reyes. There was an ominous tone to the meeting as Reyes had already committed most of the seven deadly sins prior to this tension filled moment:

Gluttony – in 2010, it was discovered that Reyes suffered from thyroid problems which many attributed to either diet or drug use.

Greed – He bolted the Mets after signing a six year $106 million contract with the Marlins as soon as free agency began.

Sloth – In his last game with the Mets, Reyes bunted for a single and exited the game ensuring he would win the batting title.

Lust – After being traded last year, Reyes openly talked about how desperately he wanted to once again be a member of the New York Mets despite his being a member of the Colorado Rockies.

Pride – In 2007, Reyes set out to get the Mets all time stolen base record even though his sliding headfirst each and every time was taken a toll on his hands and was noted as a factor in his second half decline.

Wrath – Reyes was charge with beating his wife in their hotel room in Hawaii.

The last sin is what brings us here today.  If not for that last sin, Reyes isn’t released from the Rockies.  He wouldn’t have found himself back with the Mets organization.  He certainly wouldn’t have found himself standing in the Mets clubhouse.  Now, there is just one thing he wants, but he can’t have it because it because it belongs to another.  This is the point we’re at when d’Arnaud is standing over that box in the clubhouse.  He bends down, and he opens it up horrified.

It’s an entire box of Mets jerseys with the number 7.  All of these jerseys with the number 7 – home, away, blue alternates, and even the 1986 racing stripe jerseys.  They all have the number 7.  However, now, these jerseys no longer bear d’Arnaud’s name on the back.  No.  These jerseys now have Reyes’ name on the back.  Reyes took his number back; the number he Envied.

 

James Loney Has Found His Power Stroke

In many ways it is fitting that James Loney was assigned the number 28 by the Mets.  Loney is a left-handed contact hitter that has been pressed into action at first base by the Mets due to an injury.  Throughout their careers, Loney and Daniel Murphy have been very similar hitters.

Coming into this season, Loney was a career .285/.338/.411 hitter who averaged 25 doubles and 10 homeruns.  Murphy was a career .288/.331/.424 hitter who averaged 33 doubles and nine homeruns.  The similarities do not end at the statistics.  If you look at their stances and the approach at the plate, Loney and Murphy are very similar hitters.  Here is a James Loney 2014 at bat:

As you can see, Loney stands fairly upright in his stance with his hands held high.  Loney stands a little off the plate with a somewhat open stance.  Here is a 2013 Daniel Murphy at bat:

Again, Murphy is fairly upright at the plate with his hands held high.  He’s a little off the plate with a slightly open stance.  Loney’s and Murphy’s stances are not identical, but they are very similar.  Unsurprisingly, both had similar approaches at the plate.  Both pulled inside pitches with some authority, but they would go the other way with outside pitches just hoping they would find a place to land.

Last year, Murphy linked up with Kevin Long, who has a reputation for unlocking player’s hidden power.  Here is a look at Murphy’s updated stance from the 2015 postseason:

Murphy’s stance is now closed, and he’s in more of a crouch at the plate.  The results have been terrific as Murphy has been hitting for more power.  This year Murphy has been hitting .351/.394/.588 with 20 doubles and 14 home runs. The 14 home runs tie Murphy’s career high, and there is still more than half a season to play.

Kevin Long has now made similar adjustments to Loney’s stance.  Here is one of his at bats from his short tenure with the Mets:

Now, the crouch in Loney’s stance is not as pronounced as Murphy’s.  However, a crouch is still present, and Loney has closed his stance.  From the looks of it, it appears that Kevin Long has applied to same principles he used with Daniel Murphy last year.  So far, Loney appears to be hitting the ball with more authority when he makes contact.

The result is Loney hitting .297/.345/.495 with eight doubles and four homers. He hasn’t had a slugging percentage anywhere near this high since 2007. 

Long has unlocked the power in Loney’s swing like he did with Murphy last year makes Loney is the perfect stopgap for Lucas Duda. If he keeps it up, the Mets are going to have to keep him on the roster and play him somewhere. 

Editor’s Note: this was also published on metsmerizedonline.com

Mets Can Still Make the Playoffs

After getting swept by the Nationals, the Mets feel six games back in the National League East.  The offense has been completely inept averaging 3.2 runs per game.  The Mets went 11-15 over the course of the month despite playing only eight games against teams with a winning record.  Both Noah Syndergaard and Steven Matz are dealing with bone spurs in their elbows.  These days you’d be hard pressed to find a Mets fan that has any hope that the Mets could return to the postseason.

Lost in all of this is the fact that the Mets are only a half a game back in the Wild Card Standings.

Even if you assume the National League East is out of reach (it isn’t), the Mets are in the thick of a pennant race.  Better yet, they are going up against the Dodgers, Marlins, and Cardinals.  In order to make the postseason, the Mets need only beat out two of those teams.  Each of the three teams the Mets are competing with are flawed teams with real problems.

St. Louis Cardinals

Outside of Carlos Martinez, the Cardinals rotation is struggling.  Their other four starters have ERAs 4.09 and above, and ERA+s of 1o1 and below.  To be at the point they are, they have had to rely on what has been a pretty good bullpen.  With that said, their closer, Trevor Rosenthal, is having a horrible season with a 5.19 ERA.

Offensively, the team has a black hole in center field.  It has come to the point where they are trying Kolten Wong out there.  This is the same Wong the Cardinals had sent down for his inability to produce at second base.  The Cardinals were able to move Wong to center because Jhonny Peralta finally came off the disabled list.  Peralta is now the third baseman, but he is not hitting after returning from the disabled list.

On top of all of these problems, the Cardinals finish the season with 10 of their final 20 games against the Cubs and the Giants.

Miami Marlins

Barry Bonds has certainly had an impact on this team as seemingly not named Giancarlo Stanton is having a good season offensively.  Stanton’s production is troublesome for the Marlins as he is not the same player for the Marlins a year after wrist surgery.  Fact is, the Marlins need him as their starting pitching hasn’t been very good outside of Jose Fernandez.

The Marlins really don’t have a viable fifth starter.  In reality, they don’t have much of a rotation past Fernandez.  Adam Conley is their second best starter, and he is 4-5 with a 1.357 WHIP.  The other rotation options have ERAs of 4.45 and above.  With a rotation like that, it should come as no surprise that the Marlins are performing above expectations as they have both allowed and scored 326 runs.  If the rotation continues to drag down this offense, we can reasonably expect this Marlins team to trek back towards the .500 mark.

In the event they are able to hang in the race, the Marlins are going to have to earn their way into the postseason with nine of their last 13 games coming against the Mets and the Nationals.

Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers are currently leading the Wild Card race with a 43-37 record.  That record is mostly driven by the greatness of Clayton Kershaw.

This season Kershaw is 11-2 with a 1.79 ERA and a 0.727 WHIP.  Name the pitching catergory, and you can rest assured that Kershaw is probably leading it.  In games that Kershaw pitches, the Dodgers are 14-2 in games that Kershaw starts.  If you removed Kershaw from the Dodgers rotation, the Dodgers would be 29-35 this year.  That is not a team that would be in the thick of the Wild Card race let alone leading it.

Normally, that type of analysis is done to show why a pitcher like Kershaw should win the Cy Young and/or MVP awards.  It is not done as an example to show why his team will not make the postseason.  Yet, that’s the position the Dodgers are facing.  Kershaw has been having back problems recently.  He has received an epidural injection, and he is on the 15 day disabled list.  As Mets fans have seen over the past few seasons, back injuries are funny things.  Once it starts acting up, you do not really know when a player can returns.

With that in mind, we really don’t have an answer to the Cardinals, Marlins, or Dodgers question marks.  As Mets fans, we become myopic in how we assess the Mets chances of making it back to the postseason.  Day in and day out, we see the Mets put out a poor offense and begin to believe the Mets aren’t going anywhere.  However, when you take a step back and look out over the National League landscape, the Mets are competing against other flawed teams for those two Wild Card spots.

Overall, despite the Mets recent struggles, this can still be a postseason team.  As we saw last year, with the Mets pitching, the team just has to get there.  Seeing the competition, they very well can.

2016 June Report Card

The Mets came into June only two games behind the Nationaks. After finishing having a 12-15 record in June and having been swept by the Nationals last week, the Mets now find themselves six games back, and the offensive problems of old has returned. 

Bear in mind, these grades are on a curve. If a bench player gets an A and a position player gets a B, it doesn’t mean the bench player is having a better year. Rather, it means the bench player is performing better in his role.

Position Players

Travis d’Arnaud (C-).  He hasn’t hit since he’s come off the disabled list, and while he has been throwing better, he did allow the Nationals to go a perfect six for six in stolen base attempts.  He did get extra credit for being anyone other than what the Mets have been trotting out there behind the plate this year.

Kevin Plawecki (F).  June was probably his worst month as a professional and that is saying something.  With d’Arnaud finally healthy, sending him down to the minors was a no-brainer.

Rene Rivera (C-).  Like he’s done this year, he’s hit poorly while being a stabilizing force behind the plate  However, as he’s been relied upon more and more, his poor offense became more of a problem hence the reduction from his grade last year.

Lucas Duda (Inc).  He missed the entire month with his back injuries, and he has not yet begun baseball activities.

James Loney (A).  Loney has not put up offensive stats this good since 2008.  Even with his sometimes poor range, he has been a tremendous stop gap at first base while Duda has been injured.

Neil Walker (F).  He hit .213/.293/.275 with one homer and six RBI.  That is a far cry from his nine home run April.

David Wright (Inc.)  He didn’t play as he had neck surgery.

Asdrubal Cabrera (D).  He’s hitting .237/.308/.423 in June, and the defensive metrics suggest he’s played a poor defensive shortstop.

Wilmer Flores (A-).  He came off the disabled list, and he had the best offensive month of his career hitting .306/.370/.444.  This would have been a higher grade if not for his struggles defensively.

Eric Campbell (Inc.)  At least the Mets didn’t play him in June.

Matt Reynolds (A).  Reynolds might’ve struggled in his first call-up, but he is making the most out of his most recent opportunity hitting .296/.321/.556.  He has shown some versatility by playing his first ever game in ht eoutfield.  In that game, he hit a game winning home run.

Ty Kelly (F).  He hit .133/.188/.333.  He simply hasn’t been good.

Michael Conforto (F). Whether it was the wrist or another issue, Conforto just hasn’t been getting it done.  He all but forced the Mets to demote him.

Yoenis Cespedes (B+). With his home run numbers are down (3) and while the defensive metrics don’t love his defense in center field, he still put up terrific numbers while playing through some minor injuries here and there.

Curtis Granderson (B).  Granderson had a good month after a horrendous May hitting .255/.358/.447 with four homers.

Juan Lagares (A).  In limited action, he continued to play Gold Glove caliber defense while hitting .364/.462/.545.  However, he was only limited to seven games as he’s dealing with a torn ligament in his left thumb.  He’s currently on a rehab assignment.

Alejandro De Aza (F-).  He’s terrible.

Brandon Nimmo (Inc.)  He has only played in four games.  He has had some issues with his routes, but he has not looked over-matched at the plate.

Pitchers

Matt Harvey (B).  Harvey had his best month of the season by far.  His 2.83 ERA over the course of the month was his best of the season, but it is still high for him.  Even with him pitching better, he was still 0-3 over the course of the month.

Jacob deGrom (B+).  Like Harvey, deGrom had a much better month.  He had a 2.45 ERA over the course of the month while getting his fastball velocity to return.  Again, like Harvey, even with him pitching better, he was 0-3 over the course of the month.

Noah Syndergaard (B).  Syndergaard had some trouble with location in his last two starts, and he had his worst start of the season in what was a big June game against the Nationals.  In that game, when he was paired with d’Arnaud instead of Rivera, base runners were a perfect five for five in stolen base attempts.  Overall, he was 3-1 with a 3.86 ERA over the course of the month.

Steven Matz (F). He was terrible all month going 0-2 with an ERA of 5.91 heading into last night’s gritty start. Much of the trouble was the result of bone spurs, but you’re ultimsteky judged on your results. 

Bartolo Colon (A+).  Colon had his best ever month as a Met going 2-1 with a 1.67 ERA.

Logan Verrett (C-). He had a tough month with a 5.93 ERA, but he did make a good spot start that gave the Mets a chance go win and helped save the bullpen. 

Jeurys Familia (A+) The Houdini Act against the Cubs shows why he just might be the best closer in the game. 

Addison Reed (B).  Reed came back down to earth a bit, but he has still been a terrific eighth inning reliever for the Mets. 

Jim Henderson (D). He had a rough month with a 5.63 ERA in eight appearances. He was just overworked, and now, he’s on the DL with an injury to his twice surgically repaired shoulder. 

Hansel Robles (A+). Robles saved the Mets time and time again this month. He bailed out starters and the bullpen when starters went short in the game. He got big outs all month long. 

Jerry Blevins (B).  He continues to go out there and get lefties out. With the bullpen getting extra work, he’s been stretched out a little too much here and there, but he still gets the big lefties out. 

Antonio Bastardo (F). 6.35 ERA for the month, and he might not have even been that good. 

Rafael Montero (Inc.) Didn’t pitch in the majors in June as he’s been terrible in AAA. 

Sean Gilmartin (F). He was jerked back and forth between being a starter in AAA and a reliever in the majors. Something had to break and it was Gilmartin with his 15.75 ERA. 

Erik Goeddel (A). He got a chance with Henderson’s injury, and he took full advantage with a win last night and a 1.08 ERA. 

Terry Collins (F). He was hamstrung by a team with injuries. The players that were here under-performed. Collins met that challenge by overplaying De Aza and with other curious lineup decisions. He pitched Henderson onto the DL, dangerously overused Robles, and he was part of team brass that talked Matz out of getting surgery. 

Sandy Alderson Had a Poor Offseason

This past offseason Sandy Alderson and the Mets were heralded for building a deep roster that was better built to sustain a slate of injuries like the Mets fared last year.  Here are how all the players Sandy Alderson acquired during the offseason have fared with the Mets this year:

Neil Walker

So far, Walker has had a terrific 2015.  In fact, he is on pace to have the best year of his eight year career.  However, as the Mets offense has tailed off, so has Walker.  Here are his monthly splits:

  • April .307/.337/.625 with 9 homers and 19 RBI
  • May .250/.333/.420 with 4 homers and 6 RBI
  • June .224/.307/.289 with 1 homer and 6 RBI

Each and every month Walker has gone from one a career best year to stats worse than he has had over the course of his career.

Asdrubal Cabrera

Like his double play partner, Cabrera’s stats are masked by a hot April.  In April, Cabrera hit .300/.364/.400.  Since that time, Cabrera is only hitting .247/.307/.409.  Worse yet, despite many raving about his defense, the advanced metrics disagree.  So far, he has a -5 DRS and a -2.1 UZR.

Alejandro De Aza

He was supposed to be a platoon partner with Juan Lagares in center.  Given his .165/.216/.242 batting line, it is a blessing that never came to be.

Yoenis Cespedes

For the second straight year, Cespedes has been terrific for the Mets.  His OBP and slugging are on pace to be the highest in his career.  He’s also on pace for a career high 38 homers.  Even with his poor defense in center field, he has been day in and day out the best player on the Mets.

Rene Rivera

Like every other backup catcher during the Sandy Alderson regime, Rivera has not hit.  Initially, he was supposed to be a minor league depth, but after another Travis d’Arnaud injury, he was called-up to the majors.  He has worked well with Mets pitchers this year, specificially Noah Syndergaard  Mostly due to his defense, and also because of how poorly Kevin Plawecki has played, he has stayed in the majors when d’Arnaud came off the disabled list.

Ty Kelly

He was a minor league free agent that was never supposed to play in the majors.  When he hit .148/.207/.259 in 14 games we found out why.  Of course, he was pressed into action in part because the Mets found it wise to start with Eric Campbell on the 25 man roster instead of Ruben Tejada.

Bartolo Colon

Somewhat surprisingly, at the age of 43, Colon is having his best season with the Mets.  He’s 6-4 with a 2.86 ERA and a 1.170 WHIP.  He also did this:

Jerry Blevins

After he went down last year, the Mets searched high and low for a lefty out of the pen.  They never did quite find one.  Blevins has been healthy this year, and he has been terrific going 2-0 with a 2.49 ERA.  Only recently did he have a 21 appearance and 13 inning scoreless streak snapped.

Antonio Bastardo

He has been the worst reliever in the Mets bullpen with a 5.28 ERA and a 1.565 WHIP.  Terry Collins has shoved him to the back of the bullpen and tries to avoid using him in high leverage situations at all costs.

Jim Henderson

The minor league free agent had a great Spring Training and made the Opening Day roster.  He was having a terrific season until Collins pushed him too far for what he perceived to be a must-win game in April.  His production tailed off, and now he is on the disabled list with an injured shoulder.  This is the same shoulder that caused Henderson to miss all of the 2015 season after having had two surgeries on the joint.

Overall, looking over how these moves have panned out thus far, it does not appear that Sandy Alderson has had as good an offseason as many proclaimed him to have had.  In fact, as the season progresses, it makes Alderson’s season look worse and worse.  In order for the perception of Alderson’s offseason to change again, the underperforming players are going to have to improve.  Time is growing shorter and shorter for that to happen.

Stop Batting Travis d’Arnaud Eighth

Last year, Travis d’Arnaud established himself as a major league catcher both behind and at the plate.  He showed how far he had come from the player that had to be sent to down to the minors in 2014 because he wasn’t hitting.

In 67 games, d’Arnaud hit .268/.340/.485 with 12 homers and 41 RBI.  He had a 127 OPS+.  For the most part last year, d’Arnaud spent his time hitting fifth, sixth, and seventh.  For whatever the reason, d’Arnaud was at his best when he was hitting seventh in the lineup.  When he did hit seventh, d’Arnaud was hitting .311/.382/.541 with two homers and 12 RBI.  d’Arnaud was hitting seventh in the lineup when he hit three homers in the postseason last year.  Given the construction of the Mets roster this year, you could make the case that d’Arnaud should’ve been hitting seventh.

Instead, Terry Collins sees him as the eighth place hitter on this Mets team.  There was a legitimate reason for it when he was hitting behind players like David Wright, Lucas Duda, Yoenis Cespedes, Michael Conforto, Neil Walker, and Asdrubal Cabrera. Now, it is a bad decision.  Duda and Wright are on the disabled list, and Conforto is in the minor leagues.  Now, Collins is hitting d’Arnaud behind players he is clearly better.  Take a look at the players who are currently hitting ahead of d’Arnaud:

  • James Loney – a career .285/.338/.411 hitter who was released by the Rays prior to the start of the season.
  • Wilmer Flores – a career .252/.290/.383 hitter who lost his starting job to Ruben Tejada last year and was never considered for a starting job this season
  • Brandon Nimmo – a promising rookie

Given how much d’Arnaud progressed last year, it is easy to say he is better than these options, and accordingly, he should hit higher in the lineup. However, d’Arnaud is struggling this year only hitting .206/.270/.250 with no homers.  There are various reasons for these struggles from his wrapping his hands around Julio Franco style when he bats to him starting with an open stance and closing it as the pitch is being delivered.  He’s just not as quiet in his stance as he was last year when he was having his most successful season.  It’s possible some of these changes were made due to his shoulder.  It’s also possible these changes were made due to the struggles he has been facing while hitting eighth in the order.

In 17 of his 19 games this year, d’Arnaud has hit .203/.277/.254 while hitting eighth in the order.  For his career, he is hitting .194/.278/.287 from that spot in the lineup.  That includes him going 0-3 against the Nationals yesterday.  In his entire career, d’Arnaud has never hit well out of the eighth spot in the lineup.  It has been more of the same this year, and quite possibly, it has led to d’Arnaud reverting to some bad habits at the plate.  The Mets need to get him going in order to help with their offensive woes.  It’s possible the best way to cure help him and the Mets is to take him out of the eighth spot.

 

Interview with Nicco Blank

Over the past week, Mets fans have become aware of Brooklyn Cyclones reliever Nicco Blank due to his leaving tickets for Taylor Swift for Cyclones games.  I had the opportunity to speak with him to get to know him as a baseball player, a person, and where his efforts to get Taylor Swift to attend a Cyclones game currently stand:

Mets fans have just started to get to know you with the news surrounding your leaving tickets for Taylor Swift to see you pitch at Cyclones games.  If Taylor Swift were to take you up on the offer, what type of pitcher is she going to see?

Well first of all she’s going to love my walk out song, and I wouldn’t be too surprised to spot her dancing up in the suite as I warm up. If she can resist the temptation of looking at my flowing hair, the entire time she will see a pitcher that attacks hitters and isn’t afraid to challenge guys. After the game, she’ll definitely be beating down the doors to get an autograph. All joking aside I think she would really enjoy a Cyclones game. MCU Park is such an electric environment and we have a great team this year that is a lot of fun to watch!

This is now your third year in the Mets organization and the second with the Cyclones.  How have you progressed as a pitcher from your days with Central Arizona College?

Since my days at Central Arizona, I have been working really hard to improve as a pitcher. I’m starting to understand I don’t need to throw every pitch with maximum effort to be effective. I want to be at an 80% effort and in control of my mechanics. Just trying to stay within myself and not do too much. This is where I see my most consistent results and consistency is what I need with the stuff I have. I’m learning how to be a pitcher and not a guy who just throws hard. Being around the coaching in this organization is a blessing for me.

What people have had the greatest impact upon your career?

There are numerous people who have impacted my career in a positive way but my parents deserve all the credit for where I am today. My dad taught me at young age that hard work and dedication would get me anywhere I wanted to go in life. My mom is my biggest supporter and has done more for me than I could ever repay her for. Both of them celebrate my success, get me through my rough days and always motivate me to chase my dream. I’m so thankful to have such wonderful parents.

What was the best piece of advise anyone has given you about how to succeed as a pitcher and make it to the major leagues?

When Daniel Murphy was down in Florida rehabbing in 2015, he shared with me his secret of slowing the game down and harped on believing in my abilities. Being confident and in control seems to be working for him, so I try to emulate that aspect of his game.

What are your goals for the 2016 season? 

My main goal is to be on the St. Lucie roster by the end of the season. Improving my fastball command early in the count to limit walks is the biggest thing I’m working on now. Like I mentioned earlier, trying to throw my pitches with an 80% effort and being able to recognize when I’m overthrowing.

Lets let the fans get to know you a little bit more than your leaving tickets for Taylor Swift. What has been your favorite memory as a baseball player?

My favorite memory as a baseball player is winning state my senior year of high school. We were underdogs and beat the top three teams in our division all in a row to capture our first state title in 44 years.

Who was your favorite baseball player growing up?

Derek Jeter by far. Funny story is the first time I picked up a ball I threw left handed but since Jeter was my favorite I was going to be right handed and play short stop. My dad didn’t think I was going to be a pitcher so I always tease him about how nice it would have been for my career to throw left handed.

What interests or hobbies do you have outside of baseball?   

I really enjoy cooking. You can catch me in the kitchen before home games whipping up a pregame meal. During the offseason, I spend most of my time working out and educating myself about exercise science and nutrition, which is one of the many things I’m interested in pursuing after my baseball career.

Favorite musician?  Is it really Taylor Swift?

I am so eclectic when it comes to music so picking a favorite artist would be too difficult. Let’s just say if I were managing a baseball team, I would bat T Swift first to get the party started.

Have you heard back from Taylor Swift or her people yet about whether or not she is going to attend a Mets game?

Taylor hasn’t responded yet, but our front office staff now wants to get involved and get her to MCU Park for a game. I’m pretty hopeful that she will be at a game by the end of the summer.

I appreciate Nicco Blank for taking the time out to answer some of my questions and for letting Mets fans get to know him a little better.  Hopefully, Taylor Swift will make it out to a Cyclones game at MCU Park before Blank gets called up to St. Lucie this summer.  All Mets fans should head out to MCU Park to see him and the other future Mets players this summer.

The Fall of Rafael Montero

Over the course of a full 162 schedule, it is extremely rare that a team is able to get through a season with just five starting pitchers.  With that in mind, a team will need more than just five major league caliber starting pitchers in order to get through the season.  We were all reminded of that again with the news that Steven Matz and Noah Syndergaard are both dealing with bone spurs in their pitching elbows.  Apparently, the situation is worse for Matz who is debating if he should have surgery.

If Matz, Syndergaard, or really any Mets pitcher cannot make a start, the Mets have options.  There is Logan Verrett who has already made four spot starts this season and will start in place of Matz today.  There is Sean Gilmartin who began the year in Las Vegas, in part, so the Mets could allow him to further develop as a starting pitcher.  The Mets also have well regarded prospect Gabriel Ynoa who becomes more and more major league ready with each and every start.  Whenever the Mets need an arm, these are the three names that are usually in the discussion for a start.  You know who’s name doesn’t get brought up anymore?  Rafael Montero.

This is a precipitous fall from grace for Montero.  As soon as 2014, the Mets had considered Montero a major league caliber starting pitcher.  He ranked ahead of Jacob deGrom on the organizational depth chart.  The Mets were proven wrong when deGrom got a chance to go out there and perform while Montero was injured.  As a result, when the 2015 season began, the Mets had deGrom in the rotation and Montero in the bullpen.  Still, Montero would get his shot to start as the Mets wanted to implement a six man rotation to limit the innings for deGrom and Matt Harvey.  Montero would make one start, and he would be sent down to AAA.  However, that demotion would be rescinded as Montero was found to have rotator cuff inflammation.

Eventually, the Mets would question his willingness to pitch.  Subsequent tests would show there was no significant injuries.  The team would suggest that while there was inflammation, Montero should’ve been able to pitch through it.  During a late season road trip to Florida, Terry Collins traveled to Port St. Lucie to meet with Montero to try to get him going.  Eventually, Montero would pitch in a few minor league games at the end of the year, but it was too little too late in terms of making the postseason roster.

As the team reported to Spring Training this season, Collins pulled him aside and tried to motivate him.  He told Montero the Mets had to re-sign Bartolo Colon because Montero hasn’t fulfilled his promise.  If he had, he would have been slated at the Mets’ fifth starter.  Montero responded to the pep talk by getting shellacked by the Nationals.  When the Mets had to trim down their roster, Montero was one of the first people selected to go to Minor League Spring Training.  It seemed like it was his last chance.  He would get one more.

After Matz’s first start of the season exhausted the Mets bullpen and Jacob deGrom’s baby being sick, the Mets needed an extra arm.  The team would call-up Montero.  Collins seemingly went out of his way to not use him going so far as to pitch Jim Henderson in a game he had no business pitching.  When Montero finally got into a game, he didn’t perform.  In his two appearances, Montero had an 11.57 ERA and a 2.571 WHIP.  The Mets had no problem sending him down.

In the minors, Montero has continued to be underwhelming.  In 14 starts this year, he is 4-4 with a 6.62 ERA and a 1.736 WHIP.  To be blunt, Montero is doing nothing more right now than occupying a spot on the 40 man roster.  We saw the effect of that when the Mets had subjected and lost Dario Alvarez on waivers when the Mets needed to make room for Ty Kelly on the 40 man roster.  With the Braves, Alvarez has gone 1-1 with a 2.08 ERA and a 0.923 WHIP.  So far, Alvarez has accomplished more than Montero has and perhaps ever will.

It wasn’t supposed to be this way for Montero.  He was supposed to be the guy in the top half of the rotation.  It hasn’t panned out that way.  He’s not even a consideration anymore for when the Mets need a pitcher.  Now, he’s a player taking up a spot on the 40 man roster that could be going to players with more promise.  This has been a sad fall from grace for Rafael Montero.

Editor’s Note: this was also published on metsmerizedonline.com