Look, if the Mets are being honest with us, and they’re not, they would say they will not consider promoting Amed Rosario to the majors until they are comfortable he would not be a Super Two player.  If Rosario were to be a Super Two player, he would be eligible for arbitration a year earlier.  That would have financial ramifications for both as it would increase his salary from the $500 – $600,000 range to the millions of dollars.  If he’s going to be as special as we think he is, he will be an expensive player very quickly.

The issue with the Super Two cutoff is it is a moving target.  It is given to the top 22% of players who have between two to three years of service time.  That leaves the date a moving target because it is dependent on when teams have called up their prospects.  Therefore, pinpointing the exact date is an inexact science.  In hazarding a guess, the best thing we can do is to look at when the date has been in prior years.  According to MLB Trade Rumors, that is as follows:

If history is any guide, the Super Two cut-off has already passed.  Over the past seven years, the Super Two cutoff has been 133 days.  With the regular season ending on October 1st, the Super Two cutoff would have been on May 18th.  Even the most conservative estimate would peg the cutoff date at June 4th, which was yesterday.  Therefore, realistically speaking, the Mets can call-up Rosario now and avoid his becoming a Super Two player.

Now, the Super Two cutoff is just one barrier.  The other barrier is the Mets willingness to displace Asdrubal Cabrera and Jose Reyes.  This is a more significant barrier than you could anticipate with Terry Collins recently saying, “It helps that Jose swung better, getting on base.”  (Zach Braziller, New York Post).  Collins made those statements with Reyes hitting .216/.280/.330 in the Month of May.  Collins backed up those statements by continuously hitting Reyes second in the lineup.

But if the Mets were really serious about contending in 2017, they would call-up Rosario now.  Cabrera’s Luis Castillo impression is the latest example of how he’s no longer defensively capable of handling the position.  He has not had a positive UZR in any full season in the majors, and he has not posted a positive DRS since 2008.  While he can’t play shortstop well, that doesn’t mean the Mets should take his bat out of the lineup.  He’s a second half player who showed everyone last year he’s capable of carrying an offense.  Rather, the Mets should move him to third where he would be better suited.  This would have the added advantage of putting Reyes on the bench.

Overall, with the Super Two deadline likely having passed, the Mets are out of excuses for not calling up Rosario.  With each passing day Rosario is not called up to the majors, it’s a signal the Mets are contempt with the lineup they are putting out there on a daily basis.