The RISP Issue
Time and time again, we have all seen the Mets fail to get a base hit with a runner in scoring position. It should come as no surprise to anyone that the Mets woeful .207 team batting average with runners in scoring position is the worst in all of Major League Baseball. It is 53 points lower than the .260 league average and 89 points lower than the St. Louis Cardinals .296 team batting average with runners in scoring position. It gets worse. The Mets have a .288 team OPB with runners in scoring position, which is again the worst in the Major Leagues. This is 49 points lower than the league average .337 OBP with runners in scoring position, and it is 90 points lower than the St. Louis Cardinals league leading .378 team OBP with runners in scoring position.
At this point, what usually follows is a debate between traditional fans and fans that follow more of a stats based approach. Traditional fans believe hitting with runners in scoring position is a real skill set, and if a team is unable to hit with runners in scoring position, a team will be unable to score runs. Stat based fans will tell you hitting with runners in scoring position isn’t an actual skill, and like anything else, everything tends to regress to the mean. Regardless of your point-of-view, all fans tend to subscribe to the back of the baseball card concept wherein players tend to play to their seasonal averages on a year-in and year-out basis. With that common ground in mind, here are how the current Mets players have fared with runners in scoring position along with the amount of times they have come up this year with a runner in scoring position:
Player | PA | 2016 | Career |
Asdrubal Cabrera | 70 | .180 | .256 |
Eric Campbell | 19 | .125 | .168 |
Yoenis Cespedes | 70 | .254 | .301 |
Michael Conforto | 56 | .250 | .256 |
Travis d’Arnaud | 24 | .182 | .224 |
Alejandro De Aza | 23 | .050 | .294 |
Lucas Duda | 34 | .185 | .235 |
Wilmer Flores | 41 | .297 | .270 |
Curtis Granderson | 73 | .274 | .242 |
Kelly Johnson | 50 | .214 | .261 |
Ty Kelly | 10 | .111 | .111 |
Juan Lagares | 21 | .158 | .271 |
James Loney | 37 | .281 | .302 |
Brandon Nimmo | 11 | .200 | .200 |
Kevin Plawecki | 30 | .240 | .274 |
Jose Reyes | 8 | .167 | .285 |
Matt Reynolds | 12 | .250 | .250 |
Rene Rivera | 31 | .259 | .235 |
Neil Walker | 75 | .254 | .276 |
David Wright | 38 | .226 | .293 |
* Kelly Johnson’s stats includes his 2016 stats from his 49 games with the Braves this year
While much of the ills of the season has been pinned on Campbell, Kelly, and Reynolds, the three of them have combine for only 41 plate appearances with runners in scoring position. To that end, another scapegoat, De Aza, has not hit whatsoever with runners in scoring position. These four batters have combined for 63 plate appearances which is still less than the plate appearances the either Cabrera, Cespedes, Granderson, or Walker have had individually this year.
Of that group, Granderson is the only batter who is hitting well with runners in scoring position. In fact, he is the only one who is hitting higher than his career average with runners in scoring position. Considering the fact that Cabrera has not gotten a hit with a runner in scoring position since April, it should be no surprise that he is the biggest culprit of the group.
The one encouraging sign is that most of these Mets players are underachieving with runners in scoring position. If these players finish the rest of the year producing at the rate they have done throughout their careers, this Mets team will start to score many more runs.