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Enough Excuses, Lock Up These Starters

Looking at this Mets team since 2015, one thing has been perfectly clear: this team is built on pitching, and it will only go as far as the pitching carries them. In 2015, when their starters were healthy and able to last the season, the Mets were able to win the National League Pennant. In 2016, with three of the arms going down, the Mets were still good enough to enter the postseason as the top Wild Card.

The Mets have been fortunate because the pitching has been cheap. It was not until recently that Matt Harvey, Zack Wheeler, and Jacob deGrom entered their arbitration years. Noah Syndergaard won’t be arbitration eligible until after this season. It is interesting because it is after this season that things begin to become murky. Harvey and Wheeler are scheduled to become free agents after the 2018 season with deGrom becoming a free agent the season after that.

With the Mets success rising and falling on their pitching, it begs the question why haven’t the Mets selected at least one or two pitchers and come to terms on a contract extension. The common refrain among Mets fans is the team should keep Syndergaard and deGrom and join them in a rotation that one day may also feature Robert Gsellman, Justin Dunn, and Thomas Szapucki. For now, even with the clock ticking, the Mets aren’t making a move.

While it may not make sense to most Mets fans, in a report by Joel Sherman of the New York Post, the New York Mets have advised why they have not entered into contract extension discussions with any of their young pitching:

1. Injuries

As GM John Ricco explained, “[GM] Sandy [Alderson] has not said let’s be aggressive in that area, and that [injuries] is the biggest reason.”

Fact of the matter is each one of these pitchers have an issue. Harvey, deGrom, Matz, and Wheeler have all had Tommy John surgery. Harvey, deGrom, and Matz all had season ending surgery last year. Even someone healthy like Syndergaard dealt with bone spurs last year. Point is, the Mets pitchers have not been exactly healthy, nor do they inspire confidence they will be healthy going forward. To that end, the Mets relative inactivity has been understandable.

2. Lack of Urgency

As noted in Sherman’s piece, the Mets do not have a pending free agent until the after the 2018 season, and Syndergaard isn’t a free agent until after the 2021 season. Honestly, this reason is a bit disingenuous. With Harvey’s pending free agency many expect this is Harvey’s last season in a Mets uniform as the team does not want to risk him walking in free agency and the team getting nothing in return for him.

3. Pitchers Aren’t Interested In Extensions

According to Ricco, who would know this better than fans, extension discussions are typically begun by the player and his agent. Again, with fans not being in the business, it is hard to challenge him on this. With that said, it is hard to believe the Mets would be willing to let all their pitchers go to free agency without so much as initiating contract disucssions with them. Frankly, it is harder to believe when you consider back in 2012, the Mets pounced on an opportunity to give Jon Niese a five year contract extension.

4. Personalities

As noted in Sherman’s piece, when you give a contract extension to one player, it is going to have ripple effects. As Ricco said, “You would have to manage personalities because if you do [an extension] with one, how does it impact the others?”

Now, this is a bit of an overstatement on Ricco’s part. Entering into contract extensions with the pitchers should be part of an overall plan. For example, when Omar Minaya was the General Manager, he was faced with Jose Reyes pending arbitration in 2006, he agreed with a four year pact with his shortstop. Minaya then quickly moved and locked up David Wright to a six year deal. While Alderson is dealing with more than just two players, Minaya’s actions certainly show if the team has a plan an executes it, there should be no issues.

5. Budget

It is something Mets fans don’t want to hear, but it is a reality. After this season, the Mets will have Reyes, Jay Bruce, Lucas Duda, Curtis Granderson, Neil Walker, Addison Reed, and Fernando Salas as free agents. The team will have to decide on options for Jerry Blevins and Asdrubal Cabrera. In addition, all of the Mets marquee starting pitchers will be in arbitration thereby escalating their salaries. Furthermore, Jeurys Familia will also be owed a lot of money in arbitration if he has another stellar year. Long story short, the Mets will have to spend some money this offseason.

In order to do that, the Mets need to have the money. As Ricco explains, “Once you’ve locked in [on an extension], you do limit flexibility in some ways.”

Now, it is easy to say the Mets can plug in Amed Rosario and Dominic Smith next year, but at this point, it is not known if they will be ready to be 2018 Opening Day starters. Putting forth such a plan would be folly, especially for a team that can still compete for a World Series.

Overall, the Mets concerns over not extending their pitchers have some merit, especially when you consider the injury issues. Still, the longer the Mets wait, the more expensive each of these starting pitchers will become. As they become more expensive, the chances of locking up more than one of them significantly decreases. Sooner or later, the Mets are going to have to take a chance on a couple of these pitchers if they have designs of competing for World Series over the next decade. With Harvey being a free agent after next season, the sooner the Mets begin executing a plan, the better.

2 thoughts on “Enough Excuses, Lock Up These Starters”

  1. Gothamist says:

    Very complicated however I had an idea for a simplied approach….

    Adjust for historic salary inflation etc….

    Offer same deal for each equivlent arbitration year and free agent deal length that is eventually agreed to.

    It is a shame about the SNY contract being $50M too little and the $75M they pay back to Picard (Madoff) annually. They, the owners of the Mets also are majority owners of the development around Citifield.

    Who knows if every other major market team would lock any of them up by now?
    (Boston, Baltimore (same cable TV contract as SNY … so it is no) Chicago, SF, LA, St Louis, Texas and Nats….

    Would they be shooting to start negotiating?

    Understanding the injuries, The differentiator is the owners deep pockets elsewhere, lack of staduim debt, lack of amusement park debt, lack of Madoff debt and these other larger teams markets (across the world) they mostly getting $100 m from local cable where the Mets gave the owners of SNY a sweat heart deal at $46m for years to come. Ouch!!!!

    THAT TO ME, MR SHERMAN IS THE HEAVY HERE

    MY OFFER

    For each prearbitration year addon an addition free agent deal to the offer…
    Every essentially gets the same offer:

    Harvey DeGromm and Syndergaard

    METDADDY if you are curious I will explain..

  2. Gothamist says:

    Sat night:

    I just could tell if the lineup was puttered out, not in optimum shape so early in the year, exhausted on one day off since opening day, home too late from South Beach, insufficient bench where Cabrera and Walker could not have more days off.

    Option Gilmartin sign Kelly Johnson?

    Miami has their SS and third baseman out and with Reyes just gradually getting into his senior years form (taking pitches) CABRERA and Walker if there were playing puttered out had the Mets at a net loss vs the SS second and third combo Miami had on the field – even being that their capable bench was starting again and what did the Mets have with Wilmer playing first.

    Resting Travis two days not only made sense with Sunday’s day game but resting the older vets the day before days off, after or just two in a row has to take precedent over who plays when they are resting. Even without fatigue what about their vulnerable bodies?

    Teams win who have a bench, if the bench can not do it let Sandy see it.
    I really wonder what they can do on days off anaerobically etc…
    Is that strength and conditioning coach effective without his gym on the road? I do not know about this topic at all.

    Getting the last six outs and relying on just two relievers by the same old formula with reservations by inning and three outs each, one being tired does not make sense. Salas is not 27 years old and if TC was testing his stamina he should have known after the walk and before Yellich he was at best good for one batter. With the day off Monday I would definitely asked Reed for four outs.

    I would have started by asking DeGrom to get one out, Suzuki batting or not. I would have brought in Salas for one batter and then Blevins to face Yellich. Then with two outs if needed bring in Reed. By the ninth who did the Marlins have after Bourne?

    I would have Gilmartin, Elgin, Smoker, Robles, Montero a total of seven relievers.

    These five are at a minimum five years younger than Salas?
    Or is TC saying he needs another Salas type? So he pitched him?

    Well $150M in 2006 is $184m in today’s dollars so the Mets are obviously not all in so what difference does it make who is manager?

    JL looked great in the 2015 WS, where is that approach? What is Juan seeking to do at the plate, hit it hard like Cespesdes and Reyes? Even Bruce is not hitting ball that hard on every swing.

    I would love to see a strategy or a another approach by Mr. Juan Lagares. He has the tools?
    Maybe in Winter Ball he can play infield to expand his versatility?

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