Mets Wild Card Scenarios

Following up on yesterday’s post about what needs to happen for the Mets to claim a Wild Card spot, and yesterday’s game, the current Wild Card standings are as follows:

Team Record GB
Nationals  84-68 +1.0
Brewers  84-70 0.0
Cubs  82-72 2.0
Mets  80-73 3.5
Phillies  78-74 5.0

With nine games remaining in the season, the Mets need to go on a hot streak while hoping two of the other teams fall back to the back while the Mets stay ahead of the Phillies. Putting the Phillies aside, here is what needs to happen for the Mets to catch each of the teams ahead of them.

Mets Nationals Brewers Cubs
10-0 6-5 6-3 7-2
9-1 5-6 5-4 6-3
8-2 4-7 4-5 5-4
7-3 3-8 3-6 4-5
6-4 2-9 2-7 3-6
5-5 1-10 1-8 2-7
4-5 0-11 0-9 1-8
3-6 Eliminated

Keeping in mind the Mets need for two of those events to happen. That’s how it looks in numbers. Given the schedules and the injuries, anything less than 8-2 is a non-starter for the Mets, and if we are being honest the anything less than 9-1 eliminates the Mets.

Yan Gomes Matt Adams Brian Dozier Trea Turner Anthony Rendon Juan Soto Victor Robles Adam Eaton Howie Kendrick Kurt Suzuki Gerardo Parra Ryan Zimmerman Wilmer Difo Asdrubal Cabrera Michael A. Taylor Andrew Stevenson Adrian Sanchez Raudy Read Tres Barrera Stephen Strasburg Patrick Corbin Max Scherzer Anibal Sanchez  Sean Doolittle Wander Suero Tanner Rainey Joe Ross Javy Guerra Jeremy Hellickson Austin Voth Fernando Rodney Daniel Hudson Hunter Strickland Roenis Elias Aaron Barrett Wilson Ramos Pete Alonso Robinson Cano Amed Rosario Todd Frazier J.D. Davis Brandon Nimmo Michael Conforto Jeff McNeil Tomas Nido Joe Panik Luis Guillorme Rajai Davis Rene Rivera Jed Lowrie Sam Haggerty Jacob deGrom Noah Syndergaard Zack Wheeler Steven Matz Edwin Diaz Seth Lugo Jeurys Familia Justin Wilson Marcus Stroman Luis Avilan Drew Gagnon Walker Lockett Tyler Bashlor Paul Sewald Chris Mazza Brad Brach Donnie Hart Daniel Zamora Willson Contreras Anthony Rizzo Addison Russell Javier Baez Kyle Schwarber Albert Almora Jason Heyward Victor Caratini Nicholas Castellanos Daniel Descalso Ben Zobrist Ian Happ Tony Kemp Jonathan Lucroy Nico Hoerner Kyle Hendricks Yu Darvish Jon Lester Jose Quintana Cole Hamels Craig Kimbrel Steve Cishek Kyle Ryan Brandon Kintzler Pedro Strop Tyler Chatwood Rowan Wick Alec Mills David Phelps Derek Holland Dillon Maples Brad Wieck James Norwood Danny Hultzen Duane Underwood Jr. Yasmani Grandal Eric Thames Keston Hiura Orlando Arcia Mike Moustakas Ryan Braun Lorenzo Cain Christian Yelich Ben Gamel Travis Shaw Hernan Perez Manny Pina Trent Grisham Cory Spangenberg Tyler Austin David Freitas Jacob Nottingham Tyrone Taylor Zach Davies Chase Anderson Brandon Woodruff Gio Gonzalez Jordan Lyles Josh Hader Junior Guerra Alex Claudio Adrian Houser Freddy Peralta Corbin Burnes Jay Jackson Drew Pomeranz Jimmy Nelson Taylor Williams Brent Suter Ray Black Jake Faria Devin Williams