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Mets Could Have Five All Stars

The New York Mets have been making a push for fans to elect their players as All-Stars. At first, it started with Pete Alonso and only recently it was grown to include Jeff McNeil and Michael Conforto. These are three Mets who are putting together strong cases to be All Stars, and they are three of five Mets who could be legitimately named All Stars this year:

Pete Alonso

Traditional Stats: .258/.339/.598, 13 2B, 2 3B, 22 HR, 49 RBI
Advanced Stats: 2.4 bWAR, 2.2 fWAR, 150 OPS+, 145 wRC+

Any other year and Alonso would be a no-doubt All-Star. Currently, he’s tied for second in the league in homers, and he is seventh in RBI, sixth in slugging, and tenth in OPS in conjunction with being in the mix on advanced metrics leaderboards. The problem for Alonso is first base in the National League is extremely deep this year with Max Muncy, Freddie Freeman, and Josh Bell having a higher WAR and Bell, Freeman, and Anthony Rizzo having a higher wRC+.

It is a difficult race, but Alonso has a legitimate shot to be an All Star, especially when you take injuries into account. No matter what the case, at a minimum, Alonso should be taking part in the All Star festivities as part of the Home Run Derby.

Michael Conforto

Traditional Stats: .258/.383/.507, 13 2B, 13 HR, 32 RBI, 4 SB
Advanced Stats: 1.9 bWAR, 2.0 fWAR, 142 OPS+, 138 wRC+

While he’s mostly overlooked, Conforto probably represents the Mets best shot as an All Star because he’s one of the best at his position. Currently, Conforto ranks sixth among National League outfielders in WAR and seventh in wRC+. Also, by DRS, Conforto rates as the fourth best defensive right fielder.

While he’s deserving, Conforto has real impediments to his induction. There’s players with name recognition like Charlie Blackmon or Bryce Harper or players who could be a team’s lone All Star like Brian Anderson of the Marlins. Even if they are impediments, they are not more deserving.

Jacob deGrom

Traditional Stats: 3-6, 3.38 ERA, 1.125 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9, 11.1 K/9
Advanced Stats: 2.3 bWAR, 2.3 fWAR, 118 ERA+, 3.09 FIP

Let’s get the obvious out of the way and point out deGrom hasn’t been the deGrom of last year, but that alone does not mean he’s not a worthy All-Star. While he’s had a “down year,” deGrom is still third in the National League in strikeouts and K/9, and he’s seventh in K/BB (5.1) and FIP. Another note, deGrom is also fifth in the league in fWAR.

When you break it all down, deGrom’s tough stretch fueled by illness and injuries have his stats a little off from what we anticipated. That said, breaking down the numbers more deGrom should absolutely be an All-Star this year as he is still one of the best pitchers in the league.

Seth Lugo

Traditional Stats: 3-0, 2.43 ERA, 0.930 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9, 11.6 K/9
Advanced Stats: 0.6 bWAR, 0.8 fWAR, 166 ERA+, 2.64 FIP

As baseball heads towards these multi-innings relievers, pitchers like Lugo have become more valuable, and in recent years, we have begun seeing more set-up men be included on the All-Star teams over closers who simply accumulate saves. Ultimately, the question with Lugo is just how far is the modern game willing to go to acknowledge pitchers like him.

When comparing Lugo to other National League relievers, you see he is near at in the top 10 in many categories including important ones like innings, K/9, K/BB, FIP, WHIP, and fWAR. In fact, he ranks eighth among all National League relievers in strikeouts. Now that he’s healthy, we should see him advance higher on each of these lists and continue to strengthen his case.

Jeff McNeil

Traditional Stats: .337/.408/.467, 15 2B, 3B, 3 HR, 20 RBI, 4 CS
Advanced Stats: 2.2 bWAR, 1.5 fWAR, 140 OPS+, 139 wRC+

The problem with evaluatin McNeil is you don’t know where to put him. Is he an outfielder? Second Baseman? Third Baseman? Looking at the positive DRS he has at each of those positions, the answer is clearly yes to each. When looking at it that way, you realize what McNeil really is is a baseball player, a very good baseball player.

He’s third in the league in batting average, fourth in OBP, 10th in OPS+, eighth in HBP (8), and 14th in wRC+. When you look at these and other numbers, you realize it doesn’t matter where he plays. What matters is he does play, and in fact, his ability to play three positions well makes him extremely valuable. IF we look at him as a baseball player, he is definitely one of the best players in the National League, and you are going to need a really good argument to keep him off the All-Star team.

Overall, the Mets should have at least two All-Stars, and realistically speaking the maximum they would have is three. It would seem likely deGrom and one of McNeil or Conforto makes the team with Alonso joining them as part of the Home Run Derby. At least that’s what the analysis says. As we know, who is and who is not an All-Star sometimes makes zero sense, so we just have to sit and wait and hope one of the deserving Mets will not be a snub.

 

11 thoughts on “Mets Could Have Five All Stars”

  1. Oldbackstop says:

    I think McNeil and Alonso have a good shot.

    Conforto has no shot. While the best OFers are the alleged voting, they aren’t going to make 5 of 9 OFers rightfielders.

    Lugo is an unknown to me without analyzing comps, but good catch throwing him in.

    DeGrom, at 3-6, and ranking lousy (15-35 mlb-wide) in ERA, ERA+, WHIP, FIP, and DIP, should really not make it. The Cy Young was a milestone sea change with his 10-9 record, but I don’t think the great unwashed broader electorate will get by his 3-6 record.

    Diaz was tracking early, but….you know…

    1. metsdaddy says:

      Conforto has a better shot than Alonso.

      1. Oldbackstop says:

        Vargas has a higher WAR than Lugo. Or Syndergaard. Or Matz, or Diaz or Wheeler.

        1. metsdaddy says:

          And we all come back to Vargas. I hope you have more fun rooting for his next time more than you did the Mets.

        2. Oldbackstop says:

          Actually….since you like leaning on WAR so much as a single stat to justify All Star worthiness (or deservitude) Vargas is teetering on Top Five for the Mets.

          I don’t think he’ll make it. Who knows, though, if the Mets had let him get 100 pitches a game and not dicked around skipping him and relieving, his numbers would look far, far better than Jake’s.

          That would be two AS outings in three years, no Met pitcher has done that since…Wagner? And Jason had a good outing….10 pitches, three outs, no runs.

          1. metsdaddy says:

            The lengths you will go to defend Vargas is hilarious. You’ll purposefully distort what I’ve said, and you’ll attack players I cite as actually being good.

            Like I said enjoy rooting for Vargas’ next team

  2. Oldbackstop says:

    Just some friendly education from the bWAR intro note on the site:

    “We present the WAR values with decimal places because this relates the WAR value back to the runs contributed (as one win is about ten runs), but you should not take any full-season difference between two players of less than one to two wins to be definitive (especially when the defensive metrics are included).”

    That is a FULL season….1 or 2 full points.
    So, you see why saying Conforto is sixth in WAR over two months with a 1.9 is imbecelic when there are 14 players within .8 behind him?

    1. metsdaddy says:

      It’s like you didn’t bother reading anything I wrote

    2. metsdaddy says:

      And your using imbecilic is like OJ calling someone murderous.

      1. Oldbackstop says:

        No need for ad hominems.

        Happy Fathers Day.

        1. metsdaddy says:

          I hope you keep your advice in mind.

          Happy Fathers Day to you as well.

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