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20/20 Hindsight: Mets Escape Bronx With Split

The Mets and Yankees had their first doubleheader since 2008, which was also their first doubleheader in one ballpark since the inception of the Subway Series. The Mets walked out of Yankee Stadium with a split, and they are still one game under .500. How that happened was quite eventful:

1. The Subway Series needs to stop. The Mets get four games against the Yankees while the teams they are fighting against for the division or Wild Card don’t have the same four tough games locked into their schedule all year. I don’t care how much fun it is, it is putting the Mets at a competitive disadvantage.

2. We can and should talk about payroll disparity and ownership commitment when it comes to why the Mets are the Mets and the Yankees are the Yankees. However, it’s more than that. The Yankees got Luke Voit and IFA money for essentially nothing while the Mets traded three prospects for J.D. Davis.

3. Speaking of Davis, it’s inexcusable hes’ one of three players who started both ends of the doubleheader in the field. Really, the team needs to stop trying to make this ill-advise trade work and instead focus on making decisions to help this team win games.

4. The Mets defense was terrible in the first game. Amed Rosario missed first. Todd Frazier threw one away. J.D. Davis couldn’t get to anything because he was sitting in the front row of the bleachers to make up for his lack of range. Overall, this is a terrible defensive club with a National League worst -51 DRS.

5. With respect to the poor defense, Juan Lagares is a -2 DRS in center, which seems unfathomable. However, if you look at the new stat called jump, Lagares is not getting the same read on the ball as he did over the previous two years. Who knows why that is, but until he figures it out, he’s borderline unplayable at this point.

6. Zack Wheeler needs to be better than this. Yes, the defense behind him was atrocious, but he wasn’t much better. It was not the defense who served up the homers to Gio Urshela or Luke Voit. Overall, his peripherals show he’s better than this, and he has shown himself to be a second half pitcher. You just wish he would get to being the second half Wheeler sooner rather than later.

7. Yankee Stadium is a real joke where pop flies to the infield in other parks go out. That said, Pete Alonso‘s homer in the second game of the doubleheader would have left Yosemite.

8. Alonso is becoming way too much of an all or nothing guy. Since May 1, he’s hitting .224/.300/.560 with 13 of his 30 hits being homers. He has also struck out 26 percent of the time while walking six percent of the time. As the season progresses, he looks more and more like this type of a hitter than he does the guy who set the world ablaze in April.

9. Alonso’s being in the top five in All Star voting is fun. We should celebrate that. However, it’s bizarre Mets fans are only rushing to help him when Michael Conforto and Jeff McNeil have been so good all year.

10. As noted previously, McNeil is hitting like Ichiro Suzuki. This shouldn’t be sustainable, but yet, it has been. Hat tip to Jerry Beach, a man whose taste in television shows is as excellent as his taste in managers is poor, for saying McNeil is like Wade Boggs after Gare tried to say McNeil wasn’t Boggs.

11. As much as I adore Gary, Keith, and Ron, they need to stop talking about the advanced stats, especially since they clearly don’t fully understand it, and they are mostly doing it to disparage them. Case in point was Gare saying how the shift only affects ground balls.

12. Jeurys Familia has been looking much more like Familia. He now has three consecutive completely dominating innings/appearances. We are getting closer and closer to trusting him in pressure situations again. And the Mets should if everything is ironed out as this looks more like a mechanical issue than a mental one.

13. The Mets bullpen has too many bottom feeders in it. At most, you can have one of Wilmer Font, Drew Gagnon, Tim Peterson, or Hector Santiago. You cannot have four of them. That’s how you start burning out productive arms in the pen and putting games way out of reach.

14. Yesterday, Brandon Nimmo, Robinson Cano, and Justin Wilson played in a rehab game in Syracuse. The team needs all three of them back as soon as possible to help this team go on a run, but the team cannot bring them back until each one of these players is fully healthy and ready to contribute.

15. Somehow, someway, Jason Vargas escaped the third allowing just three runs, and he got out of the fourth unscathed. When all was said and done, he had a quality start and a win. That’s a big credit to him.

16. Right now, Vargas is on one of the better stretches in his career. He pitched well against two good offensive teams, and he flat out dominated a terrible Giants team. The .286 BABIP and 83.3 LOB% would indicate this is not at all sustainable. That said, Vargas is getting results, so you might as well ride this out as far as this takes you.

17. Wilson Ramos seems to be doing with the extra days off here and there. Starting in May, he played less frequently, and he started to become much more productive. When Tomas Nido hits like he did in the first game of the doubleheader, the plan to get the over 30 and injury prone Ramos more rest becomes a more viable solution.

18. Speaking of back-up catchers, good for Travis d’Arnaud for turning things around with the Rays. In addition to catching, he’s also working out at other spots in the diamond. This is what the Mets should have done with him. Instead, they rushed him up way too soon, and they then DFA’d him in a complete overreaction.

19. There was a real fear this team was going to repeat it’s horrendous June of last year. So far, the Mets are 4-4 this month meaning they are just one short of the total win total from June 2018. While things could be better, things could also be a lot worse.

20. Mickey Callaway said about the team how he believes once this team gets back to .500 they are going to take off. With Nimmo, Cano, and Wilson in Syracuse and as Syndergaard puts it, the Mets are a second half team, it’s hard not to believe him.

22 thoughts on “20/20 Hindsight: Mets Escape Bronx With Split”

  1. Oldbackstop says:

    Lol….Point 16 you get aeound to opining that Vargas was lucky?

    I just always feel I need to check, you do realize Vargas led the league in wins and was an All Star the year before we signed him?

    Maybe you could note that Vargas has given up five (5) home runs all year, the lowest HR/9 of our starters. He holds stolen bases way down. He scattered only singles yesterday, a number squirting by infielders.

    I suppose you would trade him for DL’ed (“dead arm”) Gio Gonzalez right now?

    1. metsdaddy says:

      Vargas is now good, and we should throw out all the stats because Vargas had a lot of wins in 2017.

      1. Oldbackstop says:

        Are you a Mets fan?

        1. metsdaddy says:

          I’m a big Mets fan.

          Are you anything more than a Vargas fan?

  2. Oldbackstop says:

    As far as JD Davis, you noticed he had three hits and a key two run home run yesterday? And after a tough few weeks in April, he has only one error in the last 30 games, four on the year. The much feted Frazier has five errors even with all the time he missed, and JD is batting ten points higher than him.

    1. metsdaddy says:

      Defense is more than just errors, and analysis is more than just one game.

  3. David Klein says:

    Uhh JD Davis has a huge homer in game two and who would you have played in LF with Dom at first and Alonso as the dh? Lagares and Gomez in the OF? You keep claiming statcast does like Davis when xwoba says he’s a terrific hitter

    1. David Klein says:

      Sorry doesn’t like him yet the numbers do like him

    2. metsdaddy says:

      I’m not going to malign a player’s homer, but calling a homer putting them up 8-3 huge is a stretch.

      And look, Davis will have good games. Campbell did. McEwing did. One good game does not make a player.

      As for the stats, check GB%, average against fastballs and offspeed pitches, and stats against the shift.

  4. Oldbackstop says:

    Vargas has had stronger stretches, when healthy, since Tommy John four years ago.

    Can you think of three other examples of the Mets rotation?

    You cant aggregate his numbers since 2005 and project his current ceiling.

    1. metsdaddy says:

      Aside from judging a player by what he did four years ago, he’s not as good as the other four starters by any stretch of the imagination.

      1. Oldbackstop says:

        You are talking about a guy who had TJ after ten seasons, then made the All Star game for the first time at 34, led the league in wina, and the next year had his highest K/9.

        Vargas doesnt have the stuff that the other guys have. He works with spotting, deception, and inducong bad contact. He’ll never have the stuff our other startees have…..but will they all get to 95 wins? And he may be wonnong for a few years yet.

        1. metsdaddy says:

          And then was terrible for over a season and a half

          1. Oldbackstop says:

            No, he wasn’t. He had a very bad July and Aug 2017, and then an outstanding Sept. In 2018, read this a loud, he was i.n.j.u.r.e.d. Twice. After the break he had a ERA below 4, and in September he was lights out.

            As Callaway said last night, just discount Vargas’s first 6 1/3 innings this year, and you see the real guy. (That includes a W on opening day)

            That’s Mickey, who you are always sticking up for. Why don’t you believe him? What is his ERA if you take Mickwys advice?

          2. Oldbackstop says:

            I’ll answer my own question. Take out Vargas’s first 6 1/3 innings this year, and his ERA is 2.20. The team is 5-3 in his starts, two of the losses where the Mets were shutout, which are hard for a pitcher to win.

          3. metsdaddy says:

            That’s a fun game. Ignore the negative and manipulate the numbers

          4. Oldbackstop says:

            Oh….a 2.20 ERA would tie Vargas for second in ERA among qualifying NL starters.

            I also noted the pitchers who led the league in earned runs allowed. Interesting category….if innings are roughly the same….intimidated head coach, maybe? Wheeler has given up the most earned runs in the NL, Thor is 4th. Maybe Mickey was pinch hitting on the fifth for the wrong guys….

          5. metsdaddy says:

            If you eliminate all the games Matz gave up a run, he’s the greatest LHP of all-time.

          6. Oldbackstop says:

            That is a moron’s response, I eas quoting Mickey. Way to stay in your lane.

          7. metsdaddy says:

            No, you weren’t

  5. Oldbackstop says:

    Well, this post was a projectile vomit…payroll, bullpen, schedule, everything but a gutty and clutch performance by Vargas.

    Glad we were here to hold your hair.

    1. metsdaddy says:

      That made zero sense

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